Virginia Tech

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%Virginia Tech

68.5%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -217

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia Tech 77

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreNC State 83

Team Comparison

Virginia TechMetricNC State

57.7MMH Power Index60.1

112.8Offensive Efficiency118.4

107.2Defensive Efficiency108.6

5.6Net Efficiency9.8

5.8Strength of Schedule6.4

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

69.8Tempo70.2

52.3%Effective FG%55.1%

14.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate35.7%

3.9Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–57.7), offensive efficiency (118.4–112.8), net efficiency (9.8–5.6), strength of schedule (6.4–5.8).

Virginia Tech COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.2–108.6), recent form (-3.9–-11.9), offensive rebounding (31.1–28.2).

Final

Virginia Tech

84—78

NC State

Virginia Tech by 6 • 76.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Virginia TechTEAM STATNC State

26-49FG26-60

53.0%FG%43.0%

9-193PT6-18

47.0%3PT%33.0%

23-28FT20-24

82.0%FT%83.0%

28Rebounds32

5Offensive Rebounds13

16Assists15

20Turnovers18

7Steals14

1Blocks4

16Fouls22

Player Box Score

Virginia Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Cattoor	Guard	33	4-8	3-6	8-10	4	2	1	0	19
Lynn Kidd	Center	24	6-8	0-0	2-2	6	3	2	0	14
Sean Pedulla	Guard	37	5-10	1-3	2-3	2	9	0	0	13
Tyler Nickel	F	21	4-6	3-5	1-1	0	0	0	0	12
Robbie Beran	Forward	25	3-4	1-1	4-4	3	0	2	1	11
Mylyjael Poteat	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	6-8	2	0	1	0	8
MJ Collins Jr.	G	30	3-9	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Mekhi Long	Forward	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Casey Morsell	Guard	38	4-7	2-3	9-10	3	2	3	1	19
DJ Horne	Guard	34	6-12	3-6	1-2	0	3	3	0	16
Jayden Taylor	Guard	29	4-12	0-4	7-8	5	1	3	0	15
DJ Burns	Forward	18	3-8	0-0	2-2	4	3	2	1	8
Michael O'Connell	Guard	26	3-5	0-2	0-0	3	5	1	0	6
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	21	3-6	0-1	0-0	8	0	1	0	6
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	17	1-3	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Breon Pass	Guard	2	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	11	1-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2	2
Kam Woods	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.9Possessions76.9

109.2Offensive Efficiency101.4

101.4Defensive Efficiency109.2

7.8Net Efficiency-7.8

62.2%Effective FG%48.3%

67.4%True Shooting %54.6%

25.9%Turnover Rate23.6%

57.1%Free Throw Rate40.0%

38.8%3-Point Rate30.0%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Virginia Tech won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 76.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.