Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.4%Louisville

36.6%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL159.9

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -173

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 82

Projected Total159.9

Projected ScoreWake Forest 78

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricWake Forest

67.1MMH Power Index57.6

118.6Offensive Efficiency112.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency109.7

16.4Net Efficiency2.7

6.0Strength of Schedule7.2

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

71.0Tempo70.2

56.9%Effective FG%52.8%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.5%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

34.1%Free Throw Rate36.1%

11.7Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–57.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–112.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–109.7), net efficiency (16.4–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.2–6.0), ball security (15.5–16.8), free throw rate (36.1–34.1).

Final

Louisville

65—90

Wake Forest

Wake Forest by 25 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATWake Forest

27-59FG31-62

46.0%FG%50.0%

2-113PT18-35

18.0%3PT%51.0%

9-11FT10-12

82.0%FT%83.0%

26Rebounds36

3Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists20

7Turnovers8

4Steals3

2Blocks3

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre White	G	34	7-8	1-2	2-2	6	1	0	1	17
Mike James	G	27	7-13	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	0	16
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	30	6-11	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	12
Kaleb Glenn	F	15	3-5	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	6
Danilo Jovanovich	F	9	2-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	21	1-6	1-4	1-2	0	0	0	0	4
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	16	0-4	0-2	3-4	3	3	1	0	3
Skyy Clark	G	25	1-6	0-1	0-0	1	6	0	0	2
Zan Payne	Guard	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hercy Miller	G	5	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Aidan McCool	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	33	7-13	5-8	0-0	5	5	0	0	19
Andrew Carr	Forward	29	6-12	3-7	3-4	3	3	0	0	18
Damari Monsanto	Guard	11	4-6	4-6	0-0	3	1	0	1	12
Boopie Miller	G	32	3-7	1-1	4-4	2	3	1	0	11
Efton Reid III	Forward	31	4-6	1-2	2-2	7	1	1	1	11
Parker Friedrichsen	G	21	3-5	3-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	33	3-9	1-4	1-2	11	6	1	0	8
Zach Keller	F	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kevin Dunn	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Owen Kmety	F	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Will Underwood	G	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0

94.2Offensive Efficiency130.4

130.4Defensive Efficiency94.2

-36.2Net Efficiency36.2

47.5%Effective FG%64.5%

50.6%True Shooting %66.5%

10.3%Turnover Rate11.5%

18.6%Free Throw Rate19.4%

18.6%3-Point Rate56.5%

1.71Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Wake Forest won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.