San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%San Diego State

60.9%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -156

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 75

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreBoise State 77

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricBoise State

60.1MMH Power Index59.5

110.3Offensive Efficiency113.9

99.3Defensive Efficiency107.1

11.0Net Efficiency6.8

3.8Strength of Schedule4.2

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

70.8Tempo68.6

53.2%Effective FG%52.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

39.6%Free Throw Rate42.7%

7.8Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–110.3), strength of schedule (4.2–3.8), recent form (5.2–0.4), ball security (17.0–17.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (60.1–59.5), defensive efficiency (99.3–107.1), net efficiency (11.0–6.8).

Final

San Diego State

66—67

Boise State

Boise State by 1 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATBoise State

22-51FG22-56

43.0%FG%39.0%

6-243PT9-24

25.0%3PT%38.0%

16-19FT14-20

84.0%FT%70.0%

34Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists11

13Turnovers12

4Steals6

4Blocks1

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	38	4-9	0-1	5-7	8	1	0	1	13
Reese Waters	Guard	25	4-8	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	10
Lamont Butler	Guard	29	3-6	1-4	2-2	4	2	1	0	9
Darrion Trammell	Guard	25	4-8	1-5	0-0	6	2	0	0	9
Micah Parrish	Guard	30	3-7	1-4	0-0	5	0	0	1	7
Jay Pal	Forward	15	1-3	0-1	4-4	3	0	1	1	6
Miles Heide	F	8	2-3	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1	5
Miles Byrd	G	11	0-4	0-3	4-4	1	0	1	0	4
Elijah Saunders	F	18	1-3	1-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	3
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	33	6-10	3-3	2-2	7	1	1	1	17
Roddie Anderson	G	32	5-15	1-4	3-4	0	2	1	0	14
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	33	5-9	0-1	1-2	4	0	1	0	11
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	33	2-6	1-5	6-8	6	1	1	0	11
Max Rice	Guard	33	1-8	1-6	1-2	7	3	1	0	4
Cam Martin	Forward	14	1-2	1-1	1-2	3	2	1	0	4
Jace Whiting	G	16	1-4	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Andrew Meadow	F	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

99.5Offensive Efficiency101.1

101.1Defensive Efficiency99.5

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

49.0%Effective FG%47.3%

55.0%True Shooting %51.1%

20.0%Turnover Rate17.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate35.7%

47.1%3-Point Rate42.9%

0.46Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Boise State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.