New Hampshire

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.5%New Hampshire

96.5%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -21.5

PROJECTED TOTAL141.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -2757

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Hampshire 60

Projected Total141.2

Projected ScoreUMBC 81

Team Comparison

New HampshireMetricUMBC

34MMH Power Index59.1

99.6Offensive Efficiency113.0

107.5Defensive Efficiency99.0

-7.9Net Efficiency14.0

-3.4Strength of Schedule-5.6

-17.6Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

69.4Tempo65.5

47.6%Effective FG%54.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.3%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

29.4%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-5.5Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–34.0), offensive efficiency (113.0–99.6), defensive efficiency (99.0–107.5), net efficiency (14.0–-7.9).

New Hampshire COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.7–25.2).

Final

New Hampshire

64—58

UMBC

New Hampshire by 6 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New HampshireTEAM STATUMBC

25-65FG25-64

38.0%FG%39.0%

8-323PT7-29

25.0%3PT%24.0%

6-10FT1-3

60.0%FT%33.0%

42Rebounds40

10Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists12

15Turnovers17

11Steals6

1Blocks2

10Fouls12

Player Box Score

New Hampshire

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Clarence Daniels	Forward	35	9-17	2-6	2-3	11	0	4	0	22
Ahmad Robinson	G	35	8-17	2-6	0-2	6	2	3	0	18
Jaxson Baker	Forward	35	3-8	2-6	2-2	11	1	1	0	10
Naim Miller	Guard	28	3-13	1-9	0-0	5	2	1	0	7
Rex Sunderland	G	30	2-4	1-3	0-0	4	2	2	1	5
Dior Davis	Guard	8	0-2	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	0	2
Christian Moore	Guard	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Davide Poser	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Promise Opurum	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Paul Gakmar	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	39	8-19	4-11	0-0	6	5	0	0	20
Dion Brown	G	38	6-18	2-8	1-2	13	2	2	0	15
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	30	4-8	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	1	8
Ashton Reese	Guard	28	3-6	1-4	0-1	4	0	1	0	7
Marlon Short	Guard	8	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Ace Valentine	G	37	1-6	0-3	0-0	1	3	3	0	2
Devan Sapp	Guard	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Alpha Chibambe	Forward	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Franck Emmou	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

85.8Offensive Efficiency77.7

77.7Defensive Efficiency85.8

8.0Net Efficiency-8.0

44.6%Effective FG%44.5%

45.9%True Shooting %44.3%

20.1%Turnover Rate22.8%

15.4%Free Throw Rate4.7%

49.2%3-Point Rate45.3%

0.53Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

New Hampshire won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.