Bucknell

10-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.0%Bucknell

72.0%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLafayette -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINELafayette -257

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBucknell 69

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreLafayette 76

Team Comparison

BucknellMetricLafayette

35.7MMH Power Index39.6

99.5Offensive Efficiency102.9

112.8Defensive Efficiency110.3

-13.3Net Efficiency-7.4

2.0Strength of Schedule-1.4

-11.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

67.7Tempo67.5

48.4%Effective FG%49.4%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-8.9Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–35.7), offensive efficiency (102.9–99.5), defensive efficiency (110.3–112.8), net efficiency (-7.4–-13.3).

Bucknell COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–-1.4), offensive rebounding (26.6–25.7).

Final

Bucknell

72—75

Lafayette

Lafayette by 3 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BucknellTEAM STATLafayette

26-63FG27-63

41.0%FG%43.0%

8-213PT7-26

38.0%3PT%27.0%

12-16FT14-17

75.0%FT%82.0%

44Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists16

12Turnovers8

6Steals7

5Blocks3

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Bucknell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Williamson	C	34	10-16	1-4	2-2	16	2	0	3	23
Jack Forrest	Guard	43	5-19	2-6	3-4	7	3	0	0	15
Elvin Edmonds IV	Guard	42	5-11	3-7	0-2	3	3	0	0	13
Brandon McCreesh	G	24	3-3	2-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	10
Ian Motta	F	25	1-3	0-0	3-4	2	0	2	0	5
Ruot Bijiek	F	37	1-6	0-1	2-2	3	2	1	1	4
Pip Ajayi	Forward	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Josh Adoh	Guard	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	2	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Butler	G	40	8-12	0-1	0-0	3	6	0	0	16
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	37	6-9	2-3	1-3	8	1	3	1	15
Ryan Pettit	G	34	3-6	1-3	4-4	5	1	1	0	11
Justin Vander Baan	C	27	3-9	0-1	2-3	3	4	0	1	8
Eric Sondberg	Guard	19	2-10	2-10	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Luka Savicevic	G	14	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Luke Rasmussen	G	31	1-6	0-4	3-3	1	1	0	0	5
Andrew Phillips	G	4	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Chris Rubayo	F	10	0-3	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	1	2
Joshua Wyche	F	9	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	2	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

101.6Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency101.6

-4.2Net Efficiency4.2

47.6%Effective FG%48.4%

51.0%True Shooting %52.8%

17.2%Turnover Rate11.1%

25.4%Free Throw Rate27.0%

33.3%3-Point Rate41.3%

0.92Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.