Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.0%Troy

51.0%Southern Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -104

Southern Miss

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 76

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 76

Team Comparison

TroyMetricSouthern Miss

54.1MMH Power Index49.9

112.6Offensive Efficiency106.1

103.9Defensive Efficiency104.9

8.7Net Efficiency1.2

-2.2Strength of Schedule-0.2

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.8

70.4Tempo70.4

52.1%Effective FG%49.9%

17.1%Turnover Rate18.4%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

36.8%Free Throw Rate43.9%

6.1Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–49.9), offensive efficiency (112.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–104.9), net efficiency (8.7–1.2).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-2.2), recent form (3.8–2.0), free throw rate (43.9–36.8).

Final

Troy

63—64

Southern Miss

Southern Miss by 1 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATSouthern Miss

22-53FG23-51

42.0%FG%45.0%

10-213PT10-21

48.0%3PT%48.0%

9-13FT8-13

69.0%FT%62.0%

32Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists15

12Turnovers14

12Steals6

—Blocks4

13Fouls10

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Christyon Eugene	Guard	32	6-11	4-6	3-4	6	2	1	19
Jackson Fields	F	30	4-8	1-2	0-2	2	2	1	9
Myles Rigsby	G	30	2-5	0-1	4-4	5	0	3	8
Tayton Conerway	G	19	4-7	0-2	0-1	2	3	1	8
Aamer Muhammad	Guard	25	1-9	1-4	2-2	2	4	3	5
Victor Valdes	F	7	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	5
Thomas Dowd	F	24	1-3	1-1	0-0	7	0	2	3
Theo Seng	F	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	3
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	7	1-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	3
Randi Ovalle	Forward	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Ivory	Guard	37	7-13	3-8	3-3	2	2	0	0	20
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	36	5-7	3-4	0-0	5	1	1	0	13
Victor Iwuakor	Forward	38	3-10	1-1	4-8	8	2	1	3	11
Austin Crowley	Guard	37	5-10	1-2	0-0	2	5	2	0	11
Mo Arnold	Guard	32	2-7	1-3	0-0	7	3	0	0	5
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	3
Tegra Izay	C	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	1
Bryson Hall	Forward	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

98.1Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency98.1

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

50.9%Effective FG%54.9%

53.2%True Shooting %56.0%

18.7%Turnover Rate21.8%

24.5%Free Throw Rate25.5%

39.6%3-Point Rate41.2%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Southern Miss won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.