New Mexico

26-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

98.2%New Mexico

1.8%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -26.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -5456

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 87

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreAir Force 61

Team Comparison

New MexicoMetricAir Force

63.7MMH Power Index23

114.8Offensive Efficiency91.3

100.2Defensive Efficiency118.5

14.6Net Efficiency-27.2

2.0Strength of Schedule6.2

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

70.7Tempo67.4

53.7%Effective FG%49.0%

14.8%Turnover Rate21.9%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

36.5%Free Throw Rate35.9%

10.3Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–23.0), offensive efficiency (114.8–91.3), defensive efficiency (100.2–118.5), net efficiency (14.6–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–2.0).

Final

New Mexico

85—66

Air Force

New Mexico by 19 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New MexicoTEAM STATAir Force

35-64FG25-53

55.0%FG%47.0%

4-193PT7-22

21.0%3PT%32.0%

11-14FT9-19

79.0%FT%47.0%

36Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists21

14Turnovers18

11Steals9

6Blocks2

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Toppin	F	31	12-15	1-2	0-0	13	0	0	1	25
Jamal Mashburn Jr.	Guard	29	4-11	1-6	4-5	2	0	0	0	13
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	26	4-10	1-2	2-2	8	3	2	0	11
Tru Washington	G	24	4-5	1-2	2-2	5	2	3	0	11
Donovan Dent	G	32	4-7	0-0	2-2	1	2	1	2	10
Jaelen House	Guard	26	4-9	0-4	1-2	2	3	4	0	9
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	18	2-3	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	3	4
Quinton Webb	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jemarl Baker Jr.	Guard	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Braden Appelhans	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Mushila	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Sebastian Forsling	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Beau Becker	Forward	37	10-18	2-6	1-2	3	6	0	0	23
Rytis Petraitis	F	37	6-13	2-5	4-9	4	2	2	1	18
Kellan Boylan	F	36	3-5	1-2	2-3	4	2	2	1	9
Ethan Taylor	Guard	37	2-11	2-9	2-2	4	6	1	0	8
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	35	4-6	0-0	0-1	9	4	3	0	8
Chase Beasley	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Kearney	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kolby Gilles	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brady Ruggles	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Byron Brown	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

119.0Offensive Efficiency92.4

92.4Defensive Efficiency119.0

26.6Net Efficiency-26.6

57.8%Effective FG%53.8%

60.2%True Shooting %53.2%

19.5%Turnover Rate25.3%

21.9%Free Throw Rate35.8%

29.7%3-Point Rate41.5%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.