Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%Cal State Fullerton

67.5%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL161.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -208

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 78

Projected Total161.4

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 84

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricUC Santa Barbara

49.4MMH Power Index51.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency113.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency106.1

1.7Net Efficiency7.1

-1.2Strength of Schedule-2.0

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

76.3Tempo68.5

52.6%Effective FG%54.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.7%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

39.6%Free Throw Rate37.9%

1.3Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.4), offensive efficiency (113.2–108.8), defensive efficiency (106.1–107.1), net efficiency (7.1–1.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-2.0), recent form (2.7–-1.7), ball security (15.1–18.7).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

73—69

UC Santa Barbara

Cal State Fullerton by 4 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

23-48FG23-49

48.0%FG%47.0%

9-213PT8-22

43.0%3PT%36.0%

18-27FT15-19

67.0%FT%79.0%

28Rebounds30

5Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists13

11Turnovers12

8Steals2

2Blocks2

20Fouls23

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Jones	Guard	28	6-12	4-6	6-8	1	5	0	0	22
DJ Brewton	Guard	32	7-12	1-2	5-8	6	1	1	0	20
Grayson Carper	Guard	33	4-8	4-8	2-2	3	0	1	0	14
Beril Kabamba	Forward	31	3-7	0-2	3-4	10	4	1	0	9
Vincent Lee	Forward	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Zachary Visentin	Center	3	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	1	0	0	2
John Mikey Square	Not Available	19	0-2	0-0	1-2	4	1	1	0	1
Kendrick De Luna	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Donovan Oday	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cole Anderson	Guard	35	7-15	5-12	0-0	2	3	0	0	19
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	39	6-13	0-1	6-7	1	6	0	0	18
Yohan Traore	F	37	4-4	0-0	7-9	13	1	1	1	15
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	21	2-6	0-1	2-2	2	1	1	0	6
Kilian Brockhoff	F	8	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Ben Shtolzberg	G	14	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Jason Fontenet II	G	27	0-2	0-2	0-1	6	1	0	0	0
Ariel Bland	F	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	0
Matija Belic	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

111.6Offensive Efficiency105.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency111.6

6.1Net Efficiency-6.1

57.3%Effective FG%55.1%

60.0%True Shooting %59.5%

16.5%Turnover Rate18.7%

56.3%Free Throw Rate38.8%

43.8%3-Point Rate44.9%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.