Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.3%Sacramento State

45.7%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Arizona -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.7

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -119

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 78

Projected Total156.7

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 79

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricNorthern Arizona

43MMH Power Index36.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency107.1

112.0Defensive Efficiency114.8

-5.9Net Efficiency-7.7

0.9Strength of Schedule-1.8

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

73.2Tempo66.6

48.5%Effective FG%53.5%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.8%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

41.8%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-4.3Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sacramento State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSacramento State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.0–36.9), defensive efficiency (112.0–114.8), net efficiency (-5.9–-7.7), strength of schedule (0.9–-1.8).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–106.1), shooting efficiency (53.5–48.5).

Final

Sacramento State

61—70

Northern Arizona

Northern Arizona by 9 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

22-60FG22-59

37.0%FG%37.0%

4-123PT6-23

33.0%3PT%26.0%

13-22FT20-24

59.0%FT%83.0%

41Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists15

8Turnovers7

4Steals3

2Blocks3

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Patterson	Guard	31	6-11	4-6	0-1	5	1	0	1	16
Duncan Powell	F	25	3-11	0-1	7-9	7	1	1	1	13
Emil Skytt	G	30	4-7	0-0	0-0	1	3	3	0	8
Jacob Holt	Forward	18	3-7	0-0	2-3	4	1	0	0	8
Zee Hamoda	G	33	3-8	0-3	0-2	6	0	0	0	6
Bowyn Beatty	F	25	2-6	0-0	2-5	7	1	0	0	6
Alex Kovatchev	G	22	0-4	0-2	2-2	4	1	0	0	2
Akol Mawein	Forward	7	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Bailey Nunn	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	39	10-22	3-10	8-10	4	1	2	0	31
Liam Lloyd	Guard	33	3-6	2-5	3-4	5	3	0	0	11
Oakland Fort	G	34	1-11	0-5	7-7	6	5	0	0	9
Carson Basham	Forward	30	4-10	0-0	0-1	12	3	0	3	8
Jayden Jackson	G	23	3-6	0-0	2-2	2	3	1	0	8
Diego Campisano	F	16	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
C.J. Ford	Guard	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Rockwell Reynolds	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

90.4Offensive Efficiency103.7

103.7Defensive Efficiency90.4

-13.3Net Efficiency13.3

40.0%Effective FG%42.4%

43.3%True Shooting %49.7%

11.9%Turnover Rate10.4%

36.7%Free Throw Rate40.7%

20.0%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.25Assist / Turnover2.14

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.