Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

94.1%Tennessee State

5.9%Western Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -17.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -1595

Western Illinois

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 83

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 66

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricWestern Illinois

55.4MMH Power Index25.9

110.9Offensive Efficiency96.2

102.7Defensive Efficiency113.9

8.2Net Efficiency-17.7

-3.1Strength of Schedule-2.4

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-26.3

72.4Tempo67.5

50.9%Effective FG%45.4%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.5%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.5%

5.9Average Margin-11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–25.9), offensive efficiency (110.9–96.2), defensive efficiency (102.7–113.9), net efficiency (8.2–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-3.1), free throw rate (37.5–34.7).

Final

Tennessee State

58—57

Western Illinois

Tennessee State by 1 • 61.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATWestern Illinois

24-57FG21-55

42.0%FG%38.0%

5-113PT6-17

45.0%3PT%35.0%

5-7FT9-16

71.0%FT%56.0%

31Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists11

8Turnovers11

3Steals4

2Blocks7

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	24	4-10	1-2	4-4	0	2	2	1	13
Jason Jitoboh	Forward	30	6-11	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	12
Christian Brown	Guard	29	5-12	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	11
Michael Shanks	Forward	24	4-9	0-2	1-1	4	1	1	0	9
EJ Bellinger	Guard	17	3-4	2-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	8
Jaylen Jones	G	25	1-6	1-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	3
Knute Wood	Guard	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Denim Dawson	Guard	27	0-2	0-0	0-2	5	0	0	0	0
Justin Williams	Guard	17	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Myers	G	24	6-14	2-5	2-3	3	0	0	0	16
JJ Kalakon	Guard	32	5-13	2-4	0-0	6	1	0	1	12
James Dent Jr.	G	31	4-15	2-8	1-2	2	1	1	0	11
Quinlan Bennett	Guard	31	4-7	0-0	2-4	3	1	2	0	10
Drew Cisse	Center	29	2-2	0-0	1-2	8	3	1	1	5
Jesiah West	Forward	35	0-3	0-0	3-5	12	5	0	2	3
KJ Lee	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tay Knox	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	3	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.0Possessions61.0

95.1Offensive Efficiency93.4

93.4Defensive Efficiency95.1

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

46.5%Effective FG%43.6%

48.1%True Shooting %45.5%

13.0%Turnover Rate18.2%

12.3%Free Throw Rate29.1%

19.3%3-Point Rate30.9%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 61.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.