Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.7%Morehead State

35.3%Southern Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL143.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -183

Southern Indiana

7-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 73

Projected Total143.9

Projected ScoreSouthern Indiana 71

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricSouthern Indiana

47.3MMH Power Index37.3

110.8Offensive Efficiency99.2

110.0Defensive Efficiency106.5

0.8Net Efficiency-7.3

-4.0Strength of Schedule-2.0

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.1

67.9Tempo66.7

51.3%Effective FG%45.0%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.4%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %32.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate37.9%

0.5Average Margin-4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–37.3), offensive efficiency (110.8–99.2), net efficiency (0.8–-7.3), recent form (3.1–-14.1).

Southern Indiana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.5–110.0), strength of schedule (-2.0–-4.0).

Final

Morehead State

81—70

Southern Indiana

Morehead State by 11 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATSouthern Indiana

23-52FG22-48

44.0%FG%46.0%

10-233PT4-12

43.0%3PT%33.0%

25-34FT22-29

74.0%FT%76.0%

34Rebounds30

18Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists4

14Turnovers16

8Steals8

2Blocks—

24Fouls27

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Minix	Forward	29	7-13	3-6	9-10	6	2	2	0	26
Kalil Thomas	Guard	27	5-10	4-8	0-0	3	0	0	0	14
Eddie Ricks III	F	23	3-7	1-2	4-7	3	0	1	0	11
Drew Thelwell	Guard	35	2-4	1-2	5-7	5	4	3	0	10
Jordan Lathon	Guard	33	4-12	1-4	0-0	4	2	1	0	9
Dieonte Miles	Forward	27	1-2	0-0	5-6	6	1	1	2	7
Jerone Morton	G	21	1-2	0-1	2-4	0	2	0	0	4
Zach Iyeyemi	Forward	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Southern Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	36	6-12	1-4	17-19	5	1	1	30
Nick Hittle	F	23	4-5	0-0	3-7	2	0	1	11
Jack Mielke	Forward	38	3-7	2-5	0-0	5	0	1	8
AJ Smith	F	27	3-9	0-0	2-3	6	0	1	8
Jack Campion	G	28	3-7	1-1	0-0	3	3	4	7
Kiyron Powell	Center	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	4
Javius Moore	Guard	16	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	2
Sam Mervis	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Nolan Causwell	Forward	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Ryan Hall	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

125.6Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency125.6

17.1Net Efficiency-17.1

53.8%Effective FG%50.0%

59.4%True Shooting %56.7%

21.8%Turnover Rate24.7%

65.4%Free Throw Rate60.4%

44.2%3-Point Rate25.0%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.25

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.