American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.5%American University

53.5%Lehigh

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLehigh -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINELehigh -115

Lehigh

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 73

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreLehigh 74

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricLehigh

48.2MMH Power Index44.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency105.1

105.8Defensive Efficiency106.7

4.8Net Efficiency-1.6

-4.3Strength of Schedule-1.7

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.6

67.5Tempo69.2

52.6%Effective FG%53.3%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %23.6%

30.1%Free Throw Rate32.5%

3.3Average Margin-1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–44.9), offensive efficiency (110.6–105.1), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.7), net efficiency (4.8–-1.6).

Lehigh COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.3), recent form (3.6–2.2), shooting efficiency (53.3–52.6).

Final

American University

68—70

Lehigh

Lehigh by 2 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATLehigh

26-62FG23-45

42.0%FG%51.0%

10-253PT6-17

40.0%3PT%35.0%

6-9FT18-20

67.0%FT%90.0%

33Rebounds26

10Offensive Rebounds1

14Assists15

13Turnovers13

6Steals5

3Blocks1

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	26	9-16	2-4	1-2	10	0	0	0	21
Elijah Stephens	Guard	35	5-12	4-6	2-2	3	5	2	1	16
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	29	5-9	1-4	2-2	2	0	2	0	13
Matt Mayock	F	21	4-5	2-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	10
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	14	2-7	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	1	4
Geoff Sprouse	G	19	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Lincoln Ball	Guard	25	0-3	0-1	1-2	5	6	1	0	1
Colin Smalls	Guard	24	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Greg Jones	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Lehigh

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Whitney-Sidney	Guard	35	8-13	1-3	10-10	4	2	0	0	27
Bube Momah	F	30	4-9	0-1	6-8	5	1	1	0	14
Burke Chebuhar	Forward	27	2-5	1-3	2-2	5	3	0	0	7
Dominic Parolin	F	12	3-4	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Joshua Ingram	G	32	2-5	2-4	0-0	5	2	1	1	6
Ben Knostman	Guard	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	4
Jayshen Saigal	Guard	20	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	1	2	0	3
Cam Gillus	G	26	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

100.1Offensive Efficiency103.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency100.1

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

50.0%Effective FG%57.8%

51.3%True Shooting %64.2%

18.8%Turnover Rate19.5%

14.5%Free Throw Rate44.4%

40.3%3-Point Rate37.8%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Lehigh won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.