UC Irvine

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.7%UC Irvine

35.3%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -183

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 77

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreUC Davis 74

Team Comparison

UC IrvineMetricUC Davis

58.4MMH Power Index48.4

106.9Offensive Efficiency107.2

95.0Defensive Efficiency103.7

11.9Net Efficiency3.5

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.9

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

72.3Tempo72.4

50.7%Effective FG%52.3%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.7%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

36.5%Free Throw Rate41.5%

8.6Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–48.4), defensive efficiency (95.0–103.7), net efficiency (11.9–3.5), strength of schedule (-1.0–-1.9).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–106.9), shooting efficiency (52.3–50.7), free throw rate (41.5–36.5).

Final

UC Irvine

52—54

UC Davis

UC Davis by 2 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC IrvineTEAM STATUC Davis

20-60FG18-52

33.0%FG%35.0%

2-143PT5-15

14.0%3PT%33.0%

10-16FT13-21

63.0%FT%62.0%

38Rebounds45

12Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists10

15Turnovers20

13Steals9

4Blocks6

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andre Henry	G	32	4-11	0-3	4-5	3	0	2	0	12
Dean Keeler	Forward	21	3-6	0-0	5-6	8	0	0	2	11
Justin Hohn	Guard	32	3-13	0-4	0-1	2	1	2	0	6
Devin Tillis	F	18	2-7	1-3	0-2	4	2	0	0	5
Carter Welling	F	9	2-2	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1	5
Pierre Crockrell II	Guard	28	2-6	0-0	0-0	1	7	5	0	4
Dylan Thoerner	Guard	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Derin Saran	G	16	1-6	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Bent Leuchten	Center	10	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Langston Redfield	G	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Ofure Ujadughele	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Hayden Welling	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	35	6-17	2-7	5-9	5	5	1	0	19
Elijah Pepper	Guard	35	3-11	1-3	7-9	5	1	1	0	14
Kane Milling	Guard	29	4-8	2-3	0-0	9	1	0	0	10
Niko Rocak	F	28	3-6	0-0	1-2	8	1	2	6	7
Francesco Borra	Forward	12	1-1	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	2
Pablo Tamba	F	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Ade Adebayo	Forward	27	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	3	0	0
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	17	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Sione Lose	Guard	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

75.0Offensive Efficiency77.9

77.9Defensive Efficiency75.0

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

35.0%Effective FG%39.4%

38.5%True Shooting %43.6%

21.2%Turnover Rate29.4%

26.7%Free Throw Rate40.4%

23.3%3-Point Rate28.8%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.