Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%Northwestern State

76.0%New Orleans

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Orleans -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL145.0

MODEL MONEYLINENew Orleans -317

New Orleans

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 69

Projected Total145.0

Projected ScoreNew Orleans 76

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricNew Orleans

41.3MMH Power Index47.1

104.0Offensive Efficiency107.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency109.6

-5.0Net Efficiency-2.6

-1.6Strength of Schedule0.2

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

63.6Tempo70.8

49.5%Effective FG%50.5%

17.6%Turnover Rate20.2%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %35.7%

41.2%Free Throw Rate48.4%

-3.2Average Margin-1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Orleans HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Orleans holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–41.3), offensive efficiency (107.0–104.0), net efficiency (-2.6–-5.0), strength of schedule (0.2–-1.6).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–109.6), ball security (17.6–20.2).

Final

Northwestern State

92—67

New Orleans

Northwestern State by 25 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATNew Orleans

34-61FG27-69

56.0%FG%39.0%

2-123PT4-18

17.0%3PT%22.0%

22-31FT9-13

71.0%FT%69.0%

41Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists8

5Turnovers12

5Steals4

8Blocks3

16Fouls22

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Wilson	Forward	22	8-8	0-0	2-4	11	0	0	1	18
Cliff Davis	G	28	3-7	0-2	10-10	4	2	1	0	16
Braelon Bush	G	32	6-13	1-3	2-2	2	7	1	0	15
Chase Forte	G	34	3-9	0-2	4-9	5	4	0	0	10
Jimel Lane	F	21	4-10	0-2	0-2	7	0	0	1	8
Duane Posey	G	18	3-4	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	1	8
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	14	4-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	3	8
Jae Slack	F	9	1-1	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	1	5
Chris Mubiru	G	17	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Karlin Hardy	SG	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

New Orleans

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Jackson	Forward	26	7-10	0-0	2-2	8	1	0	0	16
Jordan Johnson	Guard	34	5-17	2-7	1-2	0	2	0	0	13
Jah Short	Guard	23	4-8	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	8
Kaleb Jenkins	Guard	18	3-5	1-2	1-1	1	0	2	1	8
Carlos Hart	G	6	2-3	0-1	3-5	1	1	1	0	7
Mason Jones	Guard	19	3-6	0-3	0-0	6	2	1	0	6
Jamond Vincent	Guard	31	1-6	0-1	2-3	6	0	0	0	4
James Glisson III	Forward	15	1-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Khaleb Wilson-Rouse	Guard	20	1-6	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Dorian Booker	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Darrius Washington	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Dorian Hill	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

127.8Offensive Efficiency93.1

93.1Defensive Efficiency127.8

34.7Net Efficiency-34.7

57.4%Effective FG%42.0%

60.7%True Shooting %44.6%

7.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

50.8%Free Throw Rate18.8%

19.7%3-Point Rate26.1%

2.80Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.