Mercer

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Mercer

62.5%Samford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSamford -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINESamford -167

Samford

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercer 78

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreSamford 81

Team Comparison

MercerMetricSamford

54.1MMH Power Index54.1

116.6Offensive Efficiency113.5

106.5Defensive Efficiency108.3

10.1Net Efficiency5.2

-4.4Strength of Schedule-2.9

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

70.9Tempo69.5

53.8%Effective FG%54.0%

14.7%Turnover Rate13.3%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

38.9%Free Throw Rate42.5%

7.2Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

Mercer

80—87

Samford

Samford by 7 • 75.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercerTEAM STATSamford

28-53FG27-58

53.0%FG%47.0%

10-213PT6-18

48.0%3PT%33.0%

14-19FT27-36

74.0%FT%75.0%

35Rebounds28

9Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists13

23Turnovers9

4Steals18

5Blocks3

27Fouls16

Player Box Score

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Davis	F	35	6-9	4-7	5-5	9	2	0	1	21
Jalyn McCreary	Forward	20	7-10	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	1	14
Jalen Cobb	Guard	19	3-6	3-5	2-2	4	0	1	0	11
Alex Holt	Forward	30	5-9	0-1	0-2	6	0	1	2	10
Jah Quinones	Guard	24	3-4	0-0	1-3	3	2	0	0	7
Caleb Hunter	Guard	13	1-4	1-2	4-4	2	4	0	0	7
David Thomas	G	16	1-5	1-2	2-3	0	2	0	0	5
Robby Carmody	Guard	15	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	4	2	0	5
Anthony Benard	G	22	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	1	0
TJ Grant	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Achor Achor	F	30	7-12	0-0	6-11	5	0	2	2	20
AJ Staton-McCray	G	30	7-16	3-5	3-3	5	3	5	0	20
Jaden Campbell	Guard	21	2-4	1-3	8-9	4	2	3	1	13
Rylan Jones	Guard	26	3-9	1-5	5-6	2	4	1	0	12
Josh Holloway	G	12	5-7	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	0	10
Nathan Johnson	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	5-6	1	0	1	0	5
Garrett Hicks	Guard	18	1-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Riley Allenspach	F	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Lukas Walls	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Dallas Graziani	Guard	24	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	4	3	0	0
Chandler Leopard	Guard	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.6Possessions75.6

105.8Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency105.8

-9.3Net Efficiency9.3

62.3%Effective FG%51.7%

64.5%True Shooting %57.9%

30.3%Turnover Rate12.0%

35.8%Free Throw Rate62.1%

39.6%3-Point Rate31.0%

0.78Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Samford won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 75.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.