Harvard

17-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Harvard

63.2%Pennsylvania

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPennsylvania -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL143.9

MODEL MONEYLINEPennsylvania -172

Pennsylvania

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHarvard 70

Projected Total143.9

Projected ScorePennsylvania 74

Team Comparison

HarvardMetricPennsylvania

52.6MMH Power Index52.9

108.1Offensive Efficiency108.6

102.9Defensive Efficiency106.4

5.2Net Efficiency2.2

-0.1Strength of Schedule1.9

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.3

64.8Tempo69.9

53.4%Effective FG%50.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.4%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

27.9%Free Throw Rate36.3%

3.4Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pennsylvania HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPennsylvania holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.9–52.6), offensive efficiency (108.6–108.1), strength of schedule (1.9–-0.1), ball security (15.4–17.2).

Harvard COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.9–106.4), net efficiency (5.2–2.2), recent form (8.3–2.3).

Final

Harvard

70—61

Pennsylvania

Harvard by 9 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HarvardTEAM STATPennsylvania

24-55FG20-56

44.0%FG%36.0%

11-273PT6-29

41.0%3PT%21.0%

11-15FT15-20

73.0%FT%75.0%

37Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists14

15Turnovers9

4Steals6

4Blocks2

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Harvard

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chisom Okpara	F	35	7-15	2-5	2-3	4	2	0	0	18
Louis Lesmond	G	35	5-11	5-11	2-3	3	1	0	0	17
Malik Mack	G	37	6-16	2-7	2-3	4	5	2	0	16
Chandler Pigge	G	22	2-3	1-2	2-2	7	1	1	0	7
Thomas Batties II	F	25	2-4	1-2	1-1	5	0	1	1	6
Justice Ajogbor	C	21	2-5	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	2	4
Denham Wojcik	G	18	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	3	0	1	2
Luca Ace-Nasteski	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Spinoso	Forward	35	4-12	1-1	3-4	8	4	0	2	12
Tyler Perkins	G	30	3-12	0-7	6-6	2	2	1	0	12
Andrew Laczkowski	Guard	26	4-7	1-2	0-0	2	1	3	0	9
Niklas Polonowski	G	16	3-8	2-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Ed Holland III	G	7	3-4	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	8
Sam Brown	G	23	2-7	1-6	1-2	3	2	1	0	6
Reese McMullen	Guard	28	1-3	1-3	1-2	3	1	0	0	4
George Smith	Guard	31	0-3	0-3	2-3	4	2	1	0	2
Augustus Gerhart	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	1	0	0	0
Cam Thrower	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

102.5Offensive Efficiency89.3

89.3Defensive Efficiency102.5

13.2Net Efficiency-13.2

53.6%Effective FG%41.1%

56.3%True Shooting %46.6%

21.7%Turnover Rate13.3%

27.3%Free Throw Rate35.7%

49.1%3-Point Rate51.8%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Harvard won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.