Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.7%Tarleton State

85.3%UT Rio Grande Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUT Rio Grande Valley -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Rio Grande Valley -580

UT Rio Grande Valley

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 68

Projected Total148.0

Projected ScoreUT Rio Grande Valley 80

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricUT Rio Grande Valley

44.6MMH Power Index55.8

103.2Offensive Efficiency112.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency103.1

1.6Net Efficiency9.5

-2.3Strength of Schedule-1.9

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency12.3

72.2Tempo67.4

49.0%Effective FG%55.7%

19.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

42.8%Free Throw Rate29.6%

1.1Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Rio Grande Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Rio Grande Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–44.6), offensive efficiency (112.6–103.2), net efficiency (9.5–1.6), strength of schedule (-1.9–-2.3).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.6–103.1), offensive rebounding (31.8–29.2), free throw rate (42.8–29.6).

Final

Tarleton State

77—73

UT Rio Grande Valley

Tarleton State by 4 • 72.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATUT Rio Grande Valley

31-67FG25-53

46.0%FG%47.0%

1-113PT11-26

9.0%3PT%42.0%

14-19FT12-18

74.0%FT%67.0%

38Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds5

17Assists19

10Turnovers15

8Steals3

3Blocks2

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lue Williams	Guard	40	13-21	0-2	2-2	6	0	1	0	28
Jakorie Smith	Forward	29	5-15	0-3	1-2	5	2	2	1	11
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	28	5-12	0-0	1-1	8	3	0	2	11
Devon Barnes	G	26	3-7	0-3	4-4	1	4	2	0	10
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	34	2-6	0-1	5-6	7	7	3	0	9
Dario Domingos	F	15	1-1	0-0	1-4	7	0	0	0	3
Adam Moussa	Guard	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Miles Lewis	Guard	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Traivar Jackson	F	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UT Rio Grande Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Elliott	G	39	9-19	3-6	2-4	3	2	2	1	23
Sherman Brashear	Guard	23	4-9	4-8	2-2	6	1	0	0	14
CJ Booker	PG	31	5-9	2-6	0-0	1	4	0	0	12
Daylen Williams	Forward	35	3-4	2-3	2-4	8	4	1	1	10
Ahren Freeman	Forward	25	2-4	0-0	5-6	6	7	0	0	9
J.J. Howard	Guard	27	2-7	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Saliou Seye	F	18	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Alex Horiuk	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.3Possessions72.3

106.5Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency106.5

5.5Net Efficiency-5.5

47.0%Effective FG%57.5%

50.6%True Shooting %59.3%

13.7%Turnover Rate21.0%

28.4%Free Throw Rate34.0%

16.4%3-Point Rate49.1%

1.70Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.