Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.8%Southern Illinois

77.2%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL135.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -339

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 64

Projected Total135.8

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 72

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricNorthern Iowa

54.6MMH Power Index61

103.4Offensive Efficiency108.4

98.5Defensive Efficiency96.4

4.9Net Efficiency12.0

1.6Strength of Schedule2.2

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

70.6Tempo64.1

49.5%Effective FG%54.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.4%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

32.3%Free Throw Rate26.2%

3.4Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–54.6), offensive efficiency (108.4–103.4), defensive efficiency (96.4–98.5), net efficiency (12.0–4.9).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.1–21.9), free throw rate (32.3–26.2).

Final

Southern Illinois

57—61

Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa by 4 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

20-53FG20-45

38.0%FG%44.0%

6-263PT3-8

23.0%3PT%38.0%

11-12FT18-31

92.0%FT%58.0%

36Rebounds28

9Offensive Rebounds5

7Assists4

14Turnovers8

4Steals6

—Blocks3

24Fouls16

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	40	5-18	2-9	5-6	3	5	2	17
AJ Ferguson	Guard	36	5-8	0-2	2-2	4	1	0	12
Clarence Rupert	Forward	26	3-5	0-0	4-4	11	0	1	10
Trent Brown	Guard	38	2-7	2-7	0-0	5	0	0	6
Troy D'Amico	Forward	28	2-9	1-6	0-0	3	1	1	5
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	12	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	5
Scottie Ebube	C	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Jovan Stulic	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bowen Born	Guard	37	5-11	1-3	5-8	2	0	1	0	16
Nate Heise	G	36	5-9	1-3	4-4	8	2	2	1	15
Tytan Anderson	Guard	29	4-12	0-0	5-10	5	1	0	0	13
Michael Duax	F	11	4-8	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	9
Jacob Hutson	Center	19	1-2	0-0	3-7	4	0	0	1	5
Cole Henry	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kyle Pock	F	23	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	1
Trey Campbell	G	35	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	1	0
Landon Wolf	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

90.2Offensive Efficiency96.5

96.5Defensive Efficiency90.2

-6.3Net Efficiency6.3

43.4%Effective FG%47.8%

48.6%True Shooting %51.1%

22.0%Turnover Rate12.8%

22.6%Free Throw Rate68.9%

49.1%3-Point Rate17.8%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.