Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%Middle Tennessee

59.0%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico State -144

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 73

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 76

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricNew Mexico State

52.5MMH Power Index51.2

109.6Offensive Efficiency108.9

105.7Defensive Efficiency104.5

3.9Net Efficiency4.4

0.4Strength of Schedule-0.7

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

68.8Tempo68.9

52.2%Effective FG%48.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.2%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

33.2%Free Throw Rate37.0%

2.7Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.5–105.7), net efficiency (4.4–3.9), ball security (15.2–16.7), offensive rebounding (33.1–31.3).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.5–51.2), offensive efficiency (109.6–108.9), strength of schedule (0.4–-0.7).

Final

Middle Tennessee

62—73

New Mexico State

New Mexico State by 11 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATNew Mexico State

20-58FG23-55

34.0%FG%42.0%

10-333PT9-21

30.0%3PT%43.0%

12-18FT18-26

67.0%FT%69.0%

34Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists12

15Turnovers8

7Steals5

3Blocks3

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Green	G	27	6-8	6-8	0-0	2	0	0	0	18
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	29	4-10	1-2	2-2	10	4	1	2	11
Elias King	Guard	29	4-11	2-6	1-3	7	1	2	0	11
Jestin Porter	G	33	4-12	1-6	1-2	2	1	1	0	10
Justin Bufford	Guard	27	1-11	0-8	3-4	2	3	0	0	5
Jacob Johnson	Guard	27	1-2	0-0	3-4	3	1	2	0	5
Jalen Jordan	Guard	19	0-3	0-2	2-3	4	1	1	0	2
Chris Loofe	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	0

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Carpenter	Forward	12	5-7	3-4	4-5	4	0	0	0	17
Brandon Suggs	Guard	20	3-8	2-2	5-6	6	0	0	1	13
Christian Cook	Guard	31	4-9	1-6	3-6	2	0	1	0	12
Jordan Rawls	Guard	29	4-10	2-4	2-2	4	7	1	0	12
Femi Odukale	Guard	32	2-8	0-2	3-5	8	3	1	0	7
Kaosi Ezeagu	Forward	30	2-4	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	1	5
Jaden Harris	G	19	2-6	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	1	5
Tanahj Pettway	Point Guard	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Jonathan Kanyanga	Forward	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

88.6Offensive Efficiency104.3

104.3Defensive Efficiency88.6

-15.7Net Efficiency15.7

43.1%Effective FG%50.0%

46.6%True Shooting %54.2%

20.7%Turnover Rate11.9%

31.0%Free Throw Rate47.3%

56.9%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.