Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.7%Cal Poly

25.3%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL165.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -295

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 86

Projected Total165.9

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 80

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricCal State Bakersfield

46.5MMH Power Index32.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

111.0Defensive Efficiency112.6

-3.8Net Efficiency-12.4

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.7

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

76.6Tempo73.0

52.2%Effective FG%46.4%

19.8%Turnover Rate18.6%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

35.8%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-2.9Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (111.0–112.6), net efficiency (-3.8–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHball security (18.6–19.8), offensive rebounding (30.2–29.9), free throw rate (43.8–35.8).

Final

Cal Poly

53—65

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 12 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

19-54FG27-56

35.0%FG%48.0%

6-153PTnull-6

40.0%3PT%0.0%

9-12FT11-19

75.0%FT%58.0%

31Rebounds41

12Offensive Rebounds15

8Assists10

16Turnovers13

5Steals11

4Blocks5

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Jones	G	33	5-11	3-5	3-4	4	1	1	0	16
Kobe Sanders	Guard	25	3-8	0-2	4-5	3	1	0	0	10
Paul Bizimana	Forward	25	3-5	2-2	1-1	6	1	2	1	9
Justin Page	G	29	2-10	0-3	1-1	2	2	0	0	5
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	21	2-6	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	1	4
Hayden Jory	Guard	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Isaac Spears	Guard	25	1-7	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	19	1-3	0-0	0-1	3	1	1	0	2
Joel Armotrading	C	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	2

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tom Mark	F	33	7-9	0-0	2-6	7	0	3	1	16
Kaleb Higgins	Guard	33	5-12	0-1	4-4	2	4	1	0	14
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	29	4-11	0-1	1-2	13	3	1	3	9
Corey Stephenson	G	24	4-7	0-1	1-3	3	1	1	0	9
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	12	4-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Jaden Alexander	G	4	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Marvin McGhee III	G	21	0-3	0-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Cameron Wilbon	Guard	19	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Naseem Gaskin	Guard	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	2	1	2
Dalph Panopio	Guard	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kareem Watson	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

83.6Offensive Efficiency102.5

102.5Defensive Efficiency83.6

-18.9Net Efficiency18.9

40.7%Effective FG%48.2%

44.4%True Shooting %50.0%

25.1%Turnover Rate20.6%

22.2%Free Throw Rate33.9%

27.8%3-Point Rate10.7%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.