Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

91.3%Michigan State

8.7%Maryland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -14.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1049

Maryland

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 81

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreMaryland 66

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricMaryland

69.8MMH Power Index44.1

117.0Offensive Efficiency104.5

101.5Defensive Efficiency113.6

15.5Net Efficiency-9.1

7.2Strength of Schedule5.2

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

67.3Tempo66.7

54.1%Effective FG%48.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.8%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

36.6%Free Throw Rate38.9%

10.5Average Margin-6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–44.1), offensive efficiency (117.0–104.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–113.6), net efficiency (15.5–-9.1).

Maryland COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (38.9–36.6).

Final

Michigan State

61—59

Maryland

Michigan State by 2 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATMaryland

21-50FG21-50

42.0%FG%42.0%

7-163PT8-22

44.0%3PT%36.0%

12-16FT9-11

75.0%FT%82.0%

22Rebounds37

2Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists8

8Turnovers18

10Steals4

4Blocks6

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	37	5-14	2-4	3-4	1	5	5	0	15
AJ Hoggard	Guard	35	4-11	0-2	4-4	1	2	2	1	12
Malik Hall	Forward	32	4-9	1-3	3-4	6	0	0	0	12
Tre Holloman	G	26	4-5	3-4	1-2	1	1	1	0	12
Jaden Akins	Guard	22	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Mady Sissoko	Center	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Jaxon Kohler	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Coen Carr	F	9	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Carson Cooper	C	27	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	2	0

Maryland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahmir Young	Guard	36	6-15	3-6	4-4	4	4	1	0	19
Donta Scott	Forward	37	6-8	2-4	2-3	5	1	0	2	16
Julian Reese	Forward	33	4-7	0-0	2-3	12	2	1	3	10
Jahari Long	G	21	3-6	3-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
DeShawn Harris-Smith	G	31	2-7	0-4	1-1	5	1	0	0	5
Jordan Geronimo	Forward	25	0-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	2	1	0
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	F	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Noah Batchelor	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

95.5Offensive Efficiency92.3

92.3Defensive Efficiency95.5

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

49.0%Effective FG%50.0%

53.0%True Shooting %53.4%

12.6%Turnover Rate28.0%

32.0%Free Throw Rate22.0%

32.0%3-Point Rate44.0%

1.13Assist / Turnover0.44

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.