Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.7%Indiana State

82.3%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -465

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 74

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreMurray State 85

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricMurray State

44.4MMH Power Index53.6

104.7Offensive Efficiency115.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency111.0

-1.3Net Efficiency4.0

0.1Strength of Schedule3.5

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

70.3Tempo72.3

53.6%Effective FG%54.0%

19.5%Turnover Rate16.3%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

28.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-0.9Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–44.4), offensive efficiency (115.0–104.7), net efficiency (4.0–-1.3), strength of schedule (3.5–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–111.0), recent form (-5.2–-9.5).

Final

Indiana State

72—63

Murray State

Indiana State by 9 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATMurray State

26-56FG25-61

46.0%FG%41.0%

13-293PT7-20

45.0%3PT%35.0%

7-9FT6-9

78.0%FT%67.0%

39Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds7

20Assists11

16Turnovers11

6Steals3

—Blocks9

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Robbie Avila	C	31	7-12	2-3	4-4	7	5	1	20
Ryan Conwell	G	40	6-11	5-7	0-0	7	1	2	17
Julian Larry	Guard	35	5-7	3-4	0-0	2	4	1	13
Jayson Kent	Forward	22	3-10	1-3	1-2	8	1	0	8
Isaiah Swope	Guard	39	2-10	2-10	0-1	2	4	2	6
Xavier Bledson	Guard	21	2-4	0-1	2-2	7	4	0	6
Jake Wolfe	Guard	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	2
Masen Miller	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Aaron Gray	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quincy Anderson	Guard	27	7-11	4-6	3-4	6	3	1	2	21
Nick Ellington	F	31	8-11	0-0	1-2	10	3	0	4	17
JaCobi Wood	Guard	36	4-10	2-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	10
Brian Moore Jr.	G	20	4-9	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	8
Rob Perry	Guard	27	1-8	0-3	2-2	3	1	1	2	4
Justin Morgan	Guard	23	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	3
Alden Applewhite	F	20	0-6	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Samuel Murray	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

104.7Offensive Efficiency91.6

91.6Defensive Efficiency104.7

13.1Net Efficiency-13.1

58.0%Effective FG%46.7%

59.7%True Shooting %48.3%

23.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

16.1%Free Throw Rate14.8%

51.8%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.