Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Northwestern State

55.5%SE Louisiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSE Louisiana -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL131.1

MODEL MONEYLINESE Louisiana -125

SE Louisiana

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 64

Projected Total131.1

Projected ScoreSE Louisiana 67

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricSE Louisiana

41.3MMH Power Index38.7

104.0Offensive Efficiency98.4

109.0Defensive Efficiency106.4

-5.0Net Efficiency-8.0

-1.6Strength of Schedule0.2

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

63.6Tempo63.9

49.5%Effective FG%47.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.5%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

41.2%Free Throw Rate38.9%

-3.2Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–38.7), offensive efficiency (104.0–98.4), net efficiency (-5.0–-8.0), recent form (-4.9–-11.9).

SE Louisiana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.4–109.0), strength of schedule (0.2–-1.6), offensive rebounding (29.4–27.1).

Final

Northwestern State

62—71

SE Louisiana

SE Louisiana by 9 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATSE Louisiana

22-58FG21-52

38.0%FG%40.0%

9-273PT5-18

33.0%3PT%28.0%

9-14FT24-29

64.0%FT%83.0%

37Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists9

17Turnovers11

5Steals13

4Blocks4

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cliff Davis	G	36	5-15	4-12	1-1	6	4	1	0	15
Chase Forte	G	31	3-9	3-6	3-5	7	1	2	1	12
Justin Wilson	Forward	33	4-8	0-0	0-0	7	1	1	3	8
Duane Posey	G	19	3-5	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	0	7
Jae Slack	F	8	2-5	1-3	2-3	1	1	0	0	7
Braelon Bush	G	39	2-7	1-4	0-0	6	2	0	0	5
Jimel Lane	F	23	2-5	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	4
Chris Mubiru	G	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	5	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

SE Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Caldwell	Guard	30	9-13	1-3	2-2	1	2	1	1	21
Roger McFarlane	Guard	38	5-12	0-3	8-9	13	1	3	1	18
Alec Woodard	Guard	34	3-8	3-6	7-8	6	3	5	0	16
Dylan Canoville	Forward	18	1-5	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	1	5
Avery Wilson	Guard	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Brody Rowbury	F	25	0-2	0-0	3-4	3	1	0	0	3
Jason Malbrue	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Kam Burton	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Max Brackmann	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

89.5Offensive Efficiency102.5

102.5Defensive Efficiency89.5

-13.0Net Efficiency13.0

45.7%Effective FG%45.2%

48.0%True Shooting %54.0%

24.8%Turnover Rate15.8%

24.1%Free Throw Rate55.8%

46.6%3-Point Rate34.6%

0.53Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

SE Louisiana won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.