Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.3%Idaho State

79.7%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -393

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 71

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreMontana State 81

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricMontana State

45.9MMH Power Index53.6

111.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency104.9

-2.4Net Efficiency9.5

0.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

67.1Tempo68.1

52.2%Effective FG%55.1%

16.5%Turnover Rate14.7%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-1.6Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–45.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–113.4), net efficiency (9.5–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.7), offensive rebounding (33.9–28.1), free throw rate (39.1–30.7).

Final

Idaho State

70—77

Montana State

Montana State by 7 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATMontana State

22-55FG27-46

40.0%FG%59.0%

7-213PT6-14

33.0%3PT%43.0%

19-29FT17-27

66.0%FT%63.0%

30Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds6

9Assists14

7Turnovers11

6Steals2

1Blocks1

20Fouls24

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maleek Arington	G	40	4-13	2-5	5-6	4	5	2	0	15
AJ Burgin	Guard	25	4-7	2-5	4-6	1	2	1	0	14
Kiree Huie	F	31	4-9	0-1	3-9	6	0	1	0	11
Brayden Parker	Center	19	3-7	2-4	2-2	4	1	0	1	10
Isaiah Griffin	F	25	3-5	0-1	2-2	7	0	0	0	8
Briggs Ranstrom	Forward	20	2-3	0-1	3-4	3	0	0	0	7
Miguel Tomley	Guard	35	2-11	1-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	5
Gavin Gilstrap	Center	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Walker	F	21	7-11	1-2	4-11	7	0	0	0	19
Robert Ford III	Guard	34	6-9	1-3	5-5	13	3	2	0	18
Chika Nduka	Forward	19	6-11	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	12
Jaden Geron	G	26	2-2	1-1	2-2	2	2	0	0	7
Tyler Patterson	Guard	38	2-5	2-4	0-2	3	0	0	0	6
Brian Goracke	Forward	28	2-5	0-2	2-3	2	1	0	1	6
Sam Lecholat	Forward	23	2-3	1-2	0-0	5	4	0	0	5
Jed Miller	G	6	0-0	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	0	4
Eddie Turner III	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

108.0Offensive Efficiency118.8

118.8Defensive Efficiency108.0

-10.8Net Efficiency10.8

46.4%Effective FG%65.2%

50.9%True Shooting %65.4%

10.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

52.7%Free Throw Rate58.7%

38.2%3-Point Rate30.4%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Montana State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.