Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.4%Florida State

44.6%Syracuse

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSyracuse -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -124

Syracuse

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 78

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreSyracuse 78

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricSyracuse

58.7MMH Power Index52.2

111.9Offensive Efficiency109.2

108.5Defensive Efficiency106.6

3.4Net Efficiency2.6

5.7Strength of Schedule5.6

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-15.1

71.8Tempo69.0

52.4%Effective FG%52.9%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %29.0%

35.2%Free Throw Rate36.2%

2.4Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.7–52.2), offensive efficiency (111.9–109.2), net efficiency (3.4–2.6), strength of schedule (5.7–5.6).

Syracuse COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.6–108.5), shooting efficiency (52.9–52.4), free throw rate (36.2–35.2).

Final

Florida State

85—69

Syracuse

Florida State by 16 • 75.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATSyracuse

32-65FG23-52

49.0%FG%44.0%

6-173PT1-14

35.0%3PT%7.0%

15-20FT22-33

75.0%FT%67.0%

35Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists7

9Turnovers16

10Steals5

1Blocks6

24Fouls19

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	29	8-15	2-3	9-12	11	2	3	0	27
Primo Spears	Guard	30	5-8	1-2	2-3	1	6	0	0	13
Baba Miller	F	20	5-7	1-2	1-2	3	0	1	0	12
Cameron Corhen	F	18	5-7	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	10
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	32	3-10	2-7	0-0	3	1	4	0	8
Jalen Warley	G	28	2-4	0-1	2-2	2	4	1	0	6
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	9	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
De'Ante Green	F	9	1-3	0-0	1-1	1	2	0	0	3
Chandler Jackson	G	11	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tom House	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Judah Mintz	Guard	39	9-14	0-1	10-15	2	3	0	0	28
J.J. Starling	G	36	4-14	0-5	2-4	2	0	0	0	10
Maliq Brown	F	32	4-5	0-0	0-0	12	1	1	1	8
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	G	17	2-2	0-0	3-6	1	1	0	1	7
Chris Bell	F	28	2-9	1-6	0-0	3	0	1	2	5
Quadir Copeland	G	15	0-1	0-0	5-6	4	0	1	0	5
Benny Williams	Forward	18	2-6	0-2	0-0	8	2	0	1	4
Justin Taylor	G	12	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	2	0	2
Peter Carey	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mounir Hima	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.1Possessions75.1

113.2Offensive Efficiency91.9

91.9Defensive Efficiency113.2

21.3Net Efficiency-21.3

53.8%Effective FG%45.2%

57.0%True Shooting %51.0%

11.9%Turnover Rate21.4%

30.8%Free Throw Rate63.5%

26.2%3-Point Rate26.9%

1.67Assist / Turnover0.44

Game Summary

Florida State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 75.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.