Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.1%Ball State

80.9%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL146.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -424

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 68

Projected Total146.5

Projected ScoreBuffalo 78

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricBuffalo

41.3MMH Power Index49.7

101.7Offensive Efficiency114.9

104.7Defensive Efficiency112.2

-3.0Net Efficiency2.7

-3.9Strength of Schedule0.0

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

66.4Tempo67.9

48.3%Effective FG%56.1%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.1%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

33.0%Free Throw Rate40.4%

-2.0Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–41.3), offensive efficiency (114.9–101.7), net efficiency (2.7–-3.0), strength of schedule (0.0–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–112.2), recent form (-0.9–-5.9), ball security (16.0–16.1).

Final

Ball State

87—59

Buffalo

Ball State by 28 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATBuffalo

31-61FG20-61

51.0%FG%33.0%

10-233PT10-32

43.0%3PT%31.0%

15-19FT9-12

79.0%FT%75.0%

46Rebounds27

11Offensive Rebounds6

19Assists15

15Turnovers13

10Steals6

2Blocks6

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Basheer Jihad	Forward	30	6-10	4-5	4-4	9	4	1	1	20
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	30	6-14	2-5	1-1	11	1	0	0	15
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	35	4-8	1-4	3-4	4	4	5	0	12
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	22	3-6	2-3	2-2	6	3	0	1	10
Ben Hendriks	Center	18	4-6	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	0	10
Davion Bailey	G	26	3-6	1-3	2-2	2	4	0	0	9
Mason Jones	F	24	3-7	0-2	1-1	5	2	2	0	7
Joey Brown	Guard	3	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	0	2
Jack Futa	Guard	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jurica Zagorsak	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Micah Bell	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quincy Adams	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sy Chatman	Forward	26	8-16	4-7	7-8	7	0	0	0	27
Isaiah Adams	Guard	27	4-11	1-6	0-0	3	4	2	1	9
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	19	3-5	2-3	0-0	7	1	0	2	8
Ryan Sabol	G	30	2-8	1-5	0-0	1	5	2	0	5
James Graham III	G	22	2-7	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Anquan Boldin Jr.	G	32	1-7	1-4	0-0	0	2	1	2	3
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	14	0-4	0-2	2-4	0	1	1	0	2
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zaakir Williamson	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Bryson Wilson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

117.7Offensive Efficiency79.8

79.8Defensive Efficiency117.7

37.9Net Efficiency-37.9

59.0%Effective FG%41.0%

62.1%True Shooting %44.2%

20.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

31.1%Free Throw Rate19.7%

37.7%3-Point Rate52.5%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Ball State won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.