Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

94.2%Toledo

5.8%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -15.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -1624

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 85

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 70

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricNorthern Illinois

58.8MMH Power Index29.2

116.0Offensive Efficiency99.7

109.6Defensive Efficiency111.6

6.4Net Efficiency-11.9

2.3Strength of Schedule-2.1

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

69.8Tempo69.7

55.1%Effective FG%48.5%

14.6%Turnover Rate21.3%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

30.3%Free Throw Rate39.6%

4.5Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–29.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–99.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–111.6), net efficiency (6.4–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–30.4), free throw rate (39.6–30.3).

Final

Toledo

89—73

Northern Illinois

Toledo by 16 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

30-62FG29-60

48.0%FG%48.0%

8-183PT6-25

44.0%3PT%24.0%

21-30FT9-13

70.0%FT%69.0%

35Rebounds36

14Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists8

9Turnovers14

9Steals3

1Blocks7

17Fouls22

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	33	8-13	1-3	3-6	6	2	2	1	20
Javan Simmons	F	30	6-10	2-3	5-9	4	1	1	0	19
Tyler Cochran	G	34	6-11	0-2	6-7	5	2	1	0	18
Sonny Wilson	G	24	6-8	2-2	1-2	4	3	2	0	15
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	32	1-7	1-4	4-4	7	3	3	0	7
Sam Lewis	G	12	2-6	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Bryce Ford	G	13	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	14	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Ben Wight	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Xavier Thomas	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Coit	G	38	8-20	4-13	3-3	6	3	1	0	23
Xavier Amos	F	33	9-13	1-4	2-2	5	1	1	2	21
Zarique Nutter	F	36	7-15	0-3	2-4	8	0	0	0	16
Philmon Gebrewhit	Guard	22	1-4	1-4	2-2	0	2	0	1	5
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	23	2-3	0-0	0-2	3	1	0	4	4
Ethan Butler	F	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Zion Russell	G	23	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Harvin Ibarguen	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Steven Tipton	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

127.5Offensive Efficiency104.6

104.6Defensive Efficiency127.5

22.9Net Efficiency-22.9

54.8%Effective FG%53.3%

58.4%True Shooting %55.2%

12.6%Turnover Rate20.5%

48.4%Free Throw Rate21.7%

29.0%3-Point Rate41.7%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

Toledo won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.