San Diego

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%San Diego

69.7%Portland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland -230

Portland

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego 75

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScorePortland 80

Team Comparison

San DiegoMetricPortland

39.8MMH Power Index42.7

106.2Offensive Efficiency104.8

111.1Defensive Efficiency110.6

-4.9Net Efficiency-5.8

-1.2Strength of Schedule1.8

-12.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.1

70.1Tempo71.0

52.0%Effective FG%52.0%

17.8%Turnover Rate19.3%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

26.3%Free Throw Rate36.9%

-3.4Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

San Diego

85—81

Portland

San Diego by 4 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San DiegoTEAM STATPortland

27-51FG29-56

53.0%FG%52.0%

12-253PT9-22

48.0%3PT%41.0%

19-21FT14-20

90.0%FT%70.0%

27Rebounds26

7Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists15

15Turnovers11

5Steals5

5Blocks—

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	34	9-15	9-14	6-6	0	2	0	0	33
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	27	5-9	1-3	3-3	6	4	1	2	14
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	28	3-5	1-2	4-5	2	4	0	0	11
Steven Jamerson II	F	32	5-8	0-0	0-1	7	2	0	2	10
Deuce Turner	G	21	1-6	0-3	6-6	1	2	0	0	8
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	10	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Dragos Lungu	G	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Emmanuel Callas	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Dominic Muncey	Guard	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Deven Dahlke	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tyler Robertson	Guard	32	7-13	1-2	2-2	3	4	2	17
Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams	F	22	4-5	2-2	5-8	2	0	0	15
Chris Austin	Guard	30	4-8	4-6	2-2	4	0	0	14
Vukasin Masic	G	38	6-13	0-5	1-1	3	4	0	13
Bol Dengdit	C	25	3-7	0-1	2-4	5	2	1	8
Juanse Gorosito	G	38	2-6	2-6	1-2	2	4	2	7
Vasilije Vucinic	Center	15	3-4	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	7

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

123.5Offensive Efficiency117.7

117.7Defensive Efficiency123.5

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

64.7%Effective FG%59.8%

69.7%True Shooting %61.8%

21.7%Turnover Rate16.1%

41.2%Free Throw Rate35.7%

49.0%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

San Diego won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.