Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.5%Boise State

29.5%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -239

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 77

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreFresno State 73

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricFresno State

59.5MMH Power Index47.1

113.9Offensive Efficiency104.9

107.1Defensive Efficiency104.9

6.8Net Efficiency0.0

4.2Strength of Schedule1.5

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

68.6Tempo69.4

52.7%Effective FG%51.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.2%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

42.7%Free Throw Rate35.5%

4.7Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–47.1), offensive efficiency (113.9–104.9), net efficiency (6.8–0.0), strength of schedule (4.2–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–107.1).

Final

Boise State

72—68

Fresno State

Boise State by 4 • 60.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATFresno State

25-54FG28-53

46.0%FG%53.0%

8-233PT6-19

35.0%3PT%32.0%

14-20FT6-7

70.0%FT%86.0%

35Rebounds25

14Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists12

10Turnovers10

6Steals8

3Blocks6

10Fouls16

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Rice	Guard	35	6-14	1-5	3-4	4	1	2	0	16
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	32	5-11	3-8	3-4	3	0	1	0	16
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	24	5-7	2-2	2-3	5	4	0	2	14
Roddie Anderson	G	29	3-6	0-0	3-4	5	2	1	0	9
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	32	2-8	0-4	1-2	4	0	0	1	5
Jace Whiting	G	16	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	5
Cam Martin	Forward	21	1-2	1-1	1-2	3	3	0	0	4
Andrew Meadow	F	11	1-2	0-1	1-1	1	1	0	0	3

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donavan Yap	Guard	28	5-7	3-5	4-4	2	4	2	1	17
Isaiah Hill	Guard	34	7-14	1-4	0-0	5	6	3	0	15
Enoch Boakye	Forward	28	5-7	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	3	12
Isaiah Pope	Guard	24	4-8	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Leo Colimerio	Forward	22	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	4
Eduardo Andre	Center	19	2-5	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	4
Jalen Weaver	Guard	13	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Xavier DuSell	Guard	32	1-5	1-5	0-0	0	1	1	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

60.4Possessions60.4

119.2Offensive Efficiency112.6

112.6Defensive Efficiency119.2

6.6Net Efficiency-6.6

53.7%Effective FG%58.5%

56.7%True Shooting %60.4%

16.8%Turnover Rate16.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate13.2%

42.6%3-Point Rate35.8%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Boise State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 60.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.