Holy Cross

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.0%Holy Cross

84.0%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -525

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHoly Cross 66

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreAmerican University 78

Team Comparison

Holy CrossMetricAmerican University

37.9MMH Power Index48.2

103.3Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.9Defensive Efficiency105.8

-7.6Net Efficiency4.8

-2.6Strength of Schedule-4.3

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

66.1Tempo67.5

49.8%Effective FG%52.6%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.7%

22.4%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

32.5%Free Throw Rate30.1%

-5.1Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–37.9), offensive efficiency (110.6–103.3), defensive efficiency (105.8–110.9), net efficiency (4.8–-7.6).

Holy Cross COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.6–-4.3), ball security (15.4–15.7), free throw rate (32.5–30.1).

Final

Holy Cross

65—84

American University

American University by 19 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Holy CrossTEAM STATAmerican University

24-50FG29-56

48.0%FG%52.0%

7-163PT10-28

44.0%3PT%36.0%

10-14FT16-19

71.0%FT%84.0%

25Rebounds31

4Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists18

16Turnovers11

5Steals14

3Blocks2

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Holy Cross

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Octave	Guard	37	7-15	3-5	6-8	9	1	0	1	23
Caleb Kenney	Forward	31	6-7	0-0	1-1	3	3	1	2	13
DeAndre Williams	G	29	4-8	1-3	0-0	4	1	2	0	9
Will Batchelder	G	32	3-5	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	7
Bo Montgomery	Guard	27	2-8	0-1	3-5	3	2	1	0	7
Joe Nugent	F	22	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
A.J. Wills	G	13	1-4	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Declan Ryan	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Louth-M Coulibaly	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michael Rabinovich	Forward	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Declan McIntyre	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaden Kirkwood	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Stephens	Guard	32	5-11	2-6	7-7	2	6	5	0	19
Matt Mayock	F	21	6-9	2-5	2-2	3	0	1	0	16
Matt Rogers	Forward	27	6-9	2-3	0-1	8	1	1	1	14
Geoff Sprouse	G	18	3-4	2-3	0-0	5	3	0	0	8
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	27	2-7	1-5	2-2	4	4	0	0	7
Colin Smalls	Guard	26	2-6	1-4	2-3	0	2	1	0	7
Lincoln Ball	Guard	22	2-2	0-0	2-3	2	1	4	1	6
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	12	2-4	0-0	1-1	1	1	0	0	5
Noah Jones	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Greg Jones	F	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	0
Adrian Samuels	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

95.0Offensive Efficiency122.8

122.8Defensive Efficiency95.0

-27.8Net Efficiency27.8

55.0%Effective FG%60.7%

57.4%True Shooting %64.6%

23.3%Turnover Rate16.2%

28.0%Free Throw Rate33.9%

32.0%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

American University won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.