Mercer

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.5%Mercer

17.5%The Citadel

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -471

The Citadel

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercer 83

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreThe Citadel 73

Team Comparison

MercerMetricThe Citadel

54.1MMH Power Index35.6

116.6Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.5Defensive Efficiency116.9

10.1Net Efficiency-10.8

-4.4Strength of Schedule-1.3

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

70.9Tempo66.3

53.8%Effective FG%50.4%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.7%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

38.9%Free Throw Rate29.6%

7.2Average Margin-7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercer HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercer holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–35.6), offensive efficiency (116.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (106.5–116.9), net efficiency (10.1–-10.8).

The Citadel COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.3–-4.4).

Final

Mercer

66—68

The Citadel

The Citadel by 2 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercerTEAM STATThe Citadel

27-60FG22-53

45.0%FG%42.0%

7-223PT5-13

32.0%3PT%38.0%

5-6FT19-24

83.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds15

16Assists11

15Turnovers15

8Steals9

6Blocks2

22Fouls10

Player Box Score

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalyn McCreary	Forward	26	6-9	0-0	4-4	7	0	1	0	16
Jalen Cobb	Guard	27	5-9	3-7	0-1	2	3	0	0	13
David Thomas	G	22	4-9	1-1	0-0	2	2	1	2	9
Alex Holt	Forward	11	3-4	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	7
Jake Davis	F	34	2-12	2-8	0-0	4	2	2	1	6
Amanze Ngumezi	Forward	11	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Caleb Hunter	Guard	16	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0	4
Robby Carmody	Guard	12	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jah Quinones	Guard	29	1-4	0-1	0-0	5	5	1	1	2
Anthony Benard	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	2	0	0
TJ Grant	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

The Citadel

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Morgan	Guard	31	4-9	2-5	11-11	3	3	2	0	21
AJ Smith	G	34	4-15	1-3	3-3	7	2	1	0	12
Madison Durr	G	39	4-11	1-2	2-3	2	3	0	0	11
Quentin Millora-Brown	Forward	35	5-7	0-0	1-4	13	1	5	2	11
Keynan Davis	G	38	3-6	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Tony Carpio	F	4	1-2	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	0	3
Marcus Pigram	G	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Colby McAllister	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Josh Davis	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Quinn Nielsen	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

101.2Offensive Efficiency104.3

104.3Defensive Efficiency101.2

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

50.8%Effective FG%46.2%

52.5%True Shooting %52.8%

22.8%Turnover Rate23.3%

10.0%Free Throw Rate45.3%

36.7%3-Point Rate24.5%

1.07Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

The Citadel won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.