Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Texas State

73.7%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -280

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 71

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreTroy 79

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricTroy

49.4MMH Power Index54.1

107.7Offensive Efficiency112.6

103.4Defensive Efficiency103.9

4.3Net Efficiency8.7

-4.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

68.6Tempo70.4

51.3%Effective FG%52.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

36.0%Free Throw Rate36.8%

2.9Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–49.4), offensive efficiency (112.6–107.7), net efficiency (8.7–4.3), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–103.9), recent form (9.1–2.0).

Final

Texas State

65—78

Troy

Troy by 13 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATTroy

22-53FG26-48

42.0%FG%54.0%

5-173PT7-17

29.0%3PT%41.0%

16-19FT19-25

84.0%FT%76.0%

28Rebounds29

7Offensive Rebounds4

12Assists13

15Turnovers13

8Steals11

—Blocks2

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dylan Dawson	Guard	32	4-12	4-10	0-0	1	3	1	12
Brandon Love	Forward	30	2-4	0-0	5-7	7	2	1	9
Kaden Gumbs	G	25	3-5	0-0	2-3	4	2	1	8
Jordan Mason	G	22	3-8	0-1	2-2	2	2	0	8
Davion Sykes	G	22	4-11	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	8
Coleton Benson	G	23	2-5	0-3	3-3	0	0	1	7
Christian Turner	Forward	27	2-5	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	6
Dontae Horne	G	5	1-2	1-1	2-2	1	0	1	5
Chris Nix	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	2
Joshua O'Garro	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Rigsby	G	36	7-10	1-1	5-6	9	2	3	0	20
Christyon Eugene	Guard	26	6-11	3-7	2-3	3	2	0	0	17
Tayton Conerway	G	24	5-7	0-1	4-6	2	6	0	0	14
Aamer Muhammad	Guard	17	2-6	0-1	5-6	4	2	1	0	9
Theo Seng	F	16	2-4	2-4	2-2	1	0	1	0	8
Thomas Dowd	F	24	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	5
Jackson Fields	F	21	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	2
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Victor Valdes	F	13	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	2	0	1
Randarius Jones	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Randi Ovalle	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

93.5Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency93.5

-18.7Net Efficiency18.7

46.2%Effective FG%61.5%

52.4%True Shooting %65.1%

21.4%Turnover Rate18.9%

35.8%Free Throw Rate52.1%

32.1%3-Point Rate35.4%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Troy won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.