Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.2%Jacksonville State

65.8%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL145.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -192

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 70

Projected Total145.3

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 75

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricMiddle Tennessee

51.2MMH Power Index52.5

108.2Offensive Efficiency109.6

101.8Defensive Efficiency105.7

6.4Net Efficiency3.9

-2.3Strength of Schedule0.4

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

67.2Tempo68.8

51.0%Effective FG%52.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.7%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

44.5%Free Throw Rate33.2%

4.3Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–51.2), offensive efficiency (109.6–108.2), strength of schedule (0.4–-2.3), recent form (3.2–-0.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–105.7), net efficiency (6.4–3.9), free throw rate (44.5–33.2).

Final

Jacksonville State

67—75

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 8 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

26-61FG25-56

43.0%FG%45.0%

4-143PT9-19

29.0%3PT%47.0%

11-15FT16-20

73.0%FT%80.0%

34Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists10

14Turnovers16

8Steals8

4Blocks7

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Johnson	F	32	6-11	2-3	3-3	5	0	2	0	17
KyKy Tandy	Guard	33	3-11	1-5	4-4	1	1	2	0	11
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	30	4-4	0-0	0-0	2	5	2	0	8
Mason Nicholson	C	20	2-5	0-0	4-6	8	0	0	3	8
Andres Burney	F	17	4-6	0-0	0-2	3	0	1	1	8
Juwan Perdue	Forward	29	3-8	1-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	7
Quincy Clark	Guard	23	3-11	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Gora Niang	Forward	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Travis Roberts	SG	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matt Mayers	Forward	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Alex Odam	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jestin Porter	G	36	10-18	4-6	6-6	3	1	2	0	30
Elias King	Guard	40	8-17	4-9	3-4	6	1	1	2	23
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	30	2-7	0-0	4-4	8	5	1	3	8
Justin Bufford	Guard	23	2-4	1-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	5
Jacob Johnson	Guard	35	2-5	0-0	0-2	6	3	1	0	4
Tre Green	G	20	0-3	0-2	3-4	3	0	2	0	3
Chris Loofe	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	2
Jalen Jordan	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

98.1Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency98.1

-11.7Net Efficiency11.7

45.9%Effective FG%52.7%

49.2%True Shooting %57.3%

20.6%Turnover Rate23.4%

24.6%Free Throw Rate35.7%

23.0%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.