Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Valparaiso

73.7%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL143.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -280

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 68

Projected Total143.3

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 76

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricSouthern Illinois

49.9MMH Power Index54.6

106.6Offensive Efficiency103.4

105.8Defensive Efficiency98.5

0.8Net Efficiency4.9

0.3Strength of Schedule1.6

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

67.5Tempo70.6

48.7%Effective FG%49.5%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

40.0%Free Throw Rate32.3%

0.5Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–49.9), defensive efficiency (98.5–105.8), net efficiency (4.9–0.8), strength of schedule (1.6–0.3).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.6–103.4), ball security (15.6–17.0), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.1).

Final

Valparaiso

69—75

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 6 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

26-59FG24-52

44.0%FG%46.0%

7-183PT7-22

39.0%3PT%32.0%

10-18FT20-26

56.0%FT%77.0%

31Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists12

10Turnovers10

7Steals6

8Blocks1

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Schwieger	F	35	8-14	2-3	2-3	7	0	0	2	20
Isaiah Stafford	G	27	7-13	1-4	1-1	1	1	1	0	16
Jahari Williamson	G	15	3-7	2-3	3-6	1	3	0	0	11
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	32	3-11	1-4	0-0	4	4	0	0	7
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	27	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	1	4	1	5
Jaxon Edwards	G	24	1-4	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	3	5
Ola Ajiboye	F	19	2-4	0-0	1-4	5	1	1	1	5
Kaspar Sepp	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	1	0
Connor Barrett	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	34	7-13	1-3	12-14	4	5	2	1	27
Trent Brown	Guard	38	5-14	1-8	3-4	2	1	1	0	14
Troy D'Amico	Forward	35	4-8	4-7	1-2	4	1	3	0	13
Clarence Rupert	Forward	24	3-5	0-0	2-4	8	0	0	0	8
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	17	3-6	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
AJ Ferguson	Guard	31	0-3	0-2	2-2	8	3	0	0	2
Scottie Ebube	C	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Trey Miller	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
R.J. McGee	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Sheridan Sharp	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

103.0Offensive Efficiency111.9

111.9Defensive Efficiency103.0

-9.0Net Efficiency9.0

50.0%Effective FG%52.9%

51.1%True Shooting %58.3%

14.6%Turnover Rate15.3%

30.5%Free Throw Rate50.0%

30.5%3-Point Rate42.3%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.