Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Drake

73.7%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -280

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 72

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreMissouri State 79

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricMissouri State

46.4MMH Power Index51.1

109.5Offensive Efficiency110.5

109.1Defensive Efficiency108.4

0.4Net Efficiency2.1

0.3Strength of Schedule0.5

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

68.6Tempo67.9

52.2%Effective FG%51.8%

14.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

34.4%Free Throw Rate42.9%

0.2Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–46.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–109.5), defensive efficiency (108.4–109.1), net efficiency (2.1–0.4).

Drake COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.2–51.8), ball security (14.9–16.4).

Final

Drake

80—83

Missouri State

Missouri State by 3 • 79.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATMissouri State

30-71FG33-83

42.0%FG%40.0%

8-233PT11-28

35.0%3PT%39.0%

12-18FT6-12

67.0%FT%50.0%

42Rebounds53

10Offensive Rebounds22

13Assists12

11Turnovers11

7Steals6

4Blocks9

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tucker DeVries	F	50	6-14	3-6	3-4	10	3	2	2	18
Darnell Brodie	Forward	41	7-15	0-0	4-7	9	2	3	2	18
Atin Wright	Guard	41	5-13	0-5	2-4	3	1	0	0	12
Conor Enright	G	38	4-7	2-3	2-2	1	6	0	0	12
Kevin Overton	G	43	3-12	1-6	0-0	9	1	1	0	7
Colby Garland	G	14	2-5	1-2	1-1	3	0	0	0	6
Kyron Gibson	Guard	14	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Nate Ferguson	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alston Mason	Guard	45	13-28	5-11	5-8	7	3	2	1	36
Cesare Edwards	Center	25	5-13	1-2	1-1	6	0	0	0	12
Donovan Clay	Guard	40	4-11	0-2	0-0	8	4	1	1	8
Raphe Ayres	Guard	41	2-4	2-4	0-0	5	0	1	0	6
Nick Kramer	Guard	29	2-5	1-3	0-1	5	2	1	0	5
Matthew Lee	Guard	7	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	21	2-6	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	4
NJ Benson	F	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	2	4
Chance Moore	G	20	1-8	1-4	0-2	3	0	0	3	3
Dawson Carper	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.2Possessions79.2

101.0Offensive Efficiency104.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency101.0

-3.8Net Efficiency3.8

47.9%Effective FG%46.4%

50.3%True Shooting %46.8%

13.7%Turnover Rate14.2%

25.4%Free Throw Rate14.5%

32.4%3-Point Rate33.7%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 79.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.