Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.1%Villanova

84.9%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -562

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 70

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreSt. John's 82

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricSt. John's

59.4MMH Power Index70.3

114.7Offensive Efficiency114.4

105.9Defensive Efficiency97.6

8.8Net Efficiency16.8

4.4Strength of Schedule5.5

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

67.3Tempo70.9

53.9%Effective FG%51.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate14.3%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

31.4%Free Throw Rate41.1%

5.9Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–59.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–105.9), net efficiency (16.8–8.8), strength of schedule (5.5–4.4).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.7–114.4), shooting efficiency (53.9–51.3).

Final

Villanova

50—70

St. John's

St. John's by 20 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATSt. John's

18-48FG28-60

38.0%FG%47.0%

4-253PT5-19

16.0%3PT%26.0%

10-13FT9-14

77.0%FT%64.0%

23Rebounds42

5Offensive Rebounds15

10Assists17

11Turnovers11

4Steals6

2Blocks5

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	32	5-11	1-4	5-5	8	0	1	0	16
TJ Bamba	Guard	26	5-6	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	12
Hakim Hart	Guard	23	1-5	0-4	3-4	1	1	1	0	5
Justin Moore	Guard	27	1-4	0-3	2-2	4	0	0	1	4
Jordan Longino	Guard	25	2-6	0-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	4
Brendan Hausen	G	14	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Mark Armstrong	Guard	26	1-7	0-3	0-2	4	5	1	0	2
Tyler Burton	Forward	18	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Lance Ware	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Soriano	Center	29	8-9	0-0	5-7	9	1	0	1	21
Jordan Dingle	Guard	25	6-13	0-5	0-0	4	4	0	0	12
Daniss Jenkins	Guard	32	3-9	1-5	2-2	4	6	1	0	9
Glenn Taylor Jr.	Forward	19	3-4	2-3	1-1	0	0	1	0	9
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	24	3-12	1-3	1-2	5	2	1	1	8
Simeon Wilcher	G	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	1	4
Drissa Traore	F	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Chris Ledlum	Guard	31	1-6	0-1	0-0	6	3	2	1	2
Zuby Ejiofor	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Brady Dunlap	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

81.3Offensive Efficiency113.8

113.8Defensive Efficiency81.3

-32.5Net Efficiency32.5

41.7%Effective FG%50.8%

46.1%True Shooting %52.5%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

27.1%Free Throw Rate23.3%

52.1%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

St. John's won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.