Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.2%Mississippi State

98.8%Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida -29.5

PROJECTED TOTAL163.2

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida -8233

Florida

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 67

Projected Total163.2

Projected ScoreFlorida 96

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricFlorida

44.6MMH Power Index79.7

107.4Offensive Efficiency120.9

113.2Defensive Efficiency99.3

-5.8Net Efficiency21.6

5.0Strength of Schedule7.1

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency24.2

72.3Tempo72.0

51.6%Effective FG%54.2%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.3%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %42.8%

30.9%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-4.2Average Margin15.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.7–44.6), offensive efficiency (120.9–107.4), defensive efficiency (99.3–113.2), net efficiency (21.6–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–16.3).

Final

Mississippi State

70—79

Florida

Florida by 9 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATFlorida

29-75FG27-64

39.0%FG%42.0%

8-333PT8-25

24.0%3PT%32.0%

4-9FT17-20

44.0%FT%85.0%

46Rebounds41

22Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists10

10Turnovers7

4Steals4

2Blocks5

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	31	9-25	5-17	3-3	4	1	0	0	26
Tolu Smith	Forward	32	5-12	0-0	0-2	10	1	1	0	10
Cameron Matthews	Forward	27	4-6	0-1	1-3	11	0	0	0	9
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	18	4-5	1-2	0-1	0	0	1	0	9
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	24	3-8	0-5	0-0	7	0	0	1	6
Shakeel Moore	Guard	19	2-8	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	5
Trey Fort	G	11	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Dashawn Davis	Guard	22	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	4	0	0	0
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	16	0-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	0

Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Richard	Guard	35	8-15	4-7	3-4	9	1	2	2	23
Zyon Pullin	Guard	34	6-13	1-5	2-2	5	3	0	1	15
Walter Clayton Jr.	Guard	31	3-12	3-8	6-6	5	2	0	0	15
Tyrese Samuel	Not Available	31	6-11	0-1	0-1	8	2	0	0	12
Micah Handlogten	C	22	2-3	0-1	2-2	3	1	2	1	6
Alex Condon	F	23	0-3	0-1	4-4	6	1	0	1	4
Riley Kugel	G	19	2-4	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	4
Thomas Haugh	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Denzel Aberdeen	G	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

105.4Offensive Efficiency119.0

119.0Defensive Efficiency105.4

-13.6Net Efficiency13.6

44.0%Effective FG%48.4%

44.2%True Shooting %53.7%

14.9%Turnover Rate10.7%

12.0%Free Throw Rate31.3%

44.0%3-Point Rate39.1%

0.90Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Florida won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.