North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%North Dakota State

64.5%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -182

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 75

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 79

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

59MMH Power Index59.8

115.4Offensive Efficiency116.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

14.6Net Efficiency14.6

-4.6Strength of Schedule-3.6

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

69.6Tempo70.0

54.5%Effective FG%59.2%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.9%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

31.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

10.1Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–59.0), offensive efficiency (116.8–115.4), strength of schedule (-3.6–-4.6), recent form (14.7–14.3).

North Dakota State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.8–102.2), net efficiency (14.6–14.6), offensive rebounding (32.0–22.1).

Final

North Dakota State

66—79

St. Thomas-Minnesota

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 13 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

23-48FG28-54

48.0%FG%52.0%

8-163PT8-27

50.0%3PT%30.0%

12-15FT15-18

80.0%FT%83.0%

27Rebounds24

4Offensive Rebounds5

12Assists12

14Turnovers6

4Steals5

—Blocks4

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Noah Feddersen	C	32	7-8	2-2	4-4	3	4	0	20
Boden Skunberg	G	37	6-15	3-7	4-4	7	1	1	19
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	39	5-8	2-3	2-2	5	3	1	14
Tajavis Miller	G	28	3-8	0-1	0-1	3	4	1	6
Lance Waddles	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	3
Jacari White	G	27	1-5	0-2	0-0	5	0	1	2
Andrew Morgan	Forward	19	0-1	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	2
Darik Dissette	Guard	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Joshua Streit	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jeremiah Burke	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Parker Bjorklund	Forward	32	12-22	5-10	3-5	9	1	2	2	32
Raheem Anthony	Guard	28	5-6	1-2	4-4	5	2	2	0	15
Kendall Blue	G	26	2-4	1-2	4-4	1	2	0	0	9
Drake Dobbs	Guard	36	3-5	0-2	2-2	1	2	0	0	8
Ahjany Lee	F	19	2-4	0-2	2-3	3	1	0	1	6
Carter Bjerke	F	7	2-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Ben Nau	Guard	21	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Brooks Allen	Forward	24	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	1	2
Ryan Dufault	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

102.5Offensive Efficiency122.7

122.7Defensive Efficiency102.5

-20.2Net Efficiency20.2

56.3%Effective FG%59.3%

59.9%True Shooting %63.1%

21.5%Turnover Rate9.4%

31.3%Free Throw Rate33.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.86Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.