Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.2%Arizona State

56.8%Oregon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOregon -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINEOregon -131

Oregon

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 74

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreOregon 77

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricOregon

51MMH Power Index48.9

108.1Offensive Efficiency106.4

110.9Defensive Efficiency110.7

-2.8Net Efficiency-4.3

7.0Strength of Schedule6.0

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

70.6Tempo66.7

51.3%Effective FG%49.9%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.8%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

40.2%Free Throw Rate36.9%

-1.9Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–48.9), offensive efficiency (108.1–106.4), net efficiency (-2.8–-4.3), strength of schedule (7.0–6.0).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.7–110.9), recent form (-6.7–-7.5), offensive rebounding (31.6–29.6).

Final

Arizona State

61—80

Oregon

Oregon by 19 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATOregon

25-57FG28-55

44.0%FG%51.0%

4-173PT9-23

24.0%3PT%39.0%

7-11FT15-16

64.0%FT%94.0%

27Rebounds35

2Offensive Rebounds3

10Assists16

9Turnovers9

7Steals4

2Blocks4

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jose Perez	Guard	29	8-12	2-2	2-3	2	4	0	0	20
Frankie Collins	G	33	4-13	0-4	0-0	3	3	2	0	8
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	26	3-8	1-4	0-0	2	0	2	1	7
Bryant Selebangue	F	13	3-6	0-0	1-3	3	0	1	0	7
Adam Miller	G	26	2-7	0-3	2-2	1	1	0	0	6
Kamari Lands	G	20	2-4	1-3	1-1	3	0	0	0	6
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	14	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	1	5
Jamiya Neal	Guard	35	1-3	0-1	0-0	9	2	1	0	2
Akil Watson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Braelon Green	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jermaine Couisnard	Guard	29	6-13	3-6	4-4	1	3	1	0	19
N'Faly Dante	Center	31	6-8	0-0	4-4	6	1	2	3	16
Keeshawn Barthelemy	Guard	26	5-6	1-2	1-2	3	1	0	1	12
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	18	3-6	2-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	8
Nate Bittle	C	12	2-3	1-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	7
Kario Oquendo	Guard	11	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Brennan Rigsby Jr.	G	17	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Jadrian Tracey	G	23	1-7	1-4	0-0	8	4	0	0	3
Jackson Shelstad	G	27	1-4	0-2	0-0	6	2	0	0	2
Mahamadou Diawara	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Gabe Reichle	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

88.5Offensive Efficiency116.1

116.1Defensive Efficiency88.5

-27.6Net Efficiency27.6

47.4%Effective FG%59.1%

49.0%True Shooting %63.9%

13.0%Turnover Rate13.1%

19.3%Free Throw Rate29.1%

29.8%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Oregon won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.