San Francisco

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.1%San Francisco

96.9%Gonzaga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -23.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -3126

Gonzaga

31-4

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 64

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreGonzaga 87

Team Comparison

San FranciscoMetricGonzaga

50.1MMH Power Index76.4

110.4Offensive Efficiency119.7

108.2Defensive Efficiency94.0

2.2Net Efficiency25.7

1.4Strength of Schedule3.0

-8.7Last 10 Net Efficiency18.2

67.6Tempo70.4

51.9%Effective FG%55.7%

16.1%Turnover Rate13.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

40.5%Free Throw Rate31.5%

1.5Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–50.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.4), defensive efficiency (94.0–108.2), net efficiency (25.7–2.2).

San Francisco COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (40.5–31.5).

Final

San Francisco

72—77

Gonzaga

Gonzaga by 5 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San FranciscoTEAM STATGonzaga

25-64FG24-52

39.0%FG%46.0%

11-333PT7-21

33.0%3PT%33.0%

11-14FT22-34

79.0%FT%65.0%

41Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists12

15Turnovers7

4Steals9

2Blocks3

25Fouls14

Player Box Score

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Williams	Guard	30	7-15	3-9	2-3	7	3	0	0	19
Ndewedo Newbury	F	28	6-13	2-6	2-3	6	2	0	2	16
Malik Thomas	G	28	2-10	2-5	6-6	2	0	2	0	12
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	22	4-9	2-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	10
Jonathan Mogbo	Forward	35	4-6	0-0	0-0	11	4	0	0	8
Ryan Beasley	G	19	1-3	1-2	1-2	4	0	1	0	4
Mike Sharavjamts	G	25	1-7	1-6	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Josh Kunen	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Volodymyr Markovetskyy	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	31	6-10	0-0	10-11	7	1	0	1	22
Anton Watson	Forward	33	6-8	0-2	3-9	7	3	3	1	15
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	4-8	1-3	4-8	1	6	2	0	13
Ben Gregg	Forward	30	3-7	2-5	4-4	5	1	0	0	12
Nolan Hickman	Guard	40	4-10	3-6	0-0	2	1	2	0	11
Dusty Stromer	G	19	1-4	1-3	1-2	3	0	2	1	4
Braden Huff	F	7	0-5	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

101.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency101.4

-7.0Net Efficiency7.0

47.7%Effective FG%52.9%

51.0%True Shooting %56.5%

20.6%Turnover Rate10.1%

21.9%Free Throw Rate65.4%

51.6%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.