Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.2%Montana State

33.8%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -196

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 81

Projected Total157.6

Projected ScoreSacramento State 76

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricSacramento State

53.6MMH Power Index43

114.4Offensive Efficiency106.1

104.9Defensive Efficiency112.0

9.5Net Efficiency-5.9

-3.7Strength of Schedule0.9

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

68.1Tempo73.2

55.1%Effective FG%48.5%

14.7%Turnover Rate14.2%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

30.7%Free Throw Rate41.8%

6.5Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–43.0), offensive efficiency (114.4–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–112.0), net efficiency (9.5–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.7), ball security (14.2–14.7), free throw rate (41.8–30.7).

Final

Montana State

70—62

Sacramento State

Montana State by 8 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATSacramento State

23-49FG19-53

47.0%FG%36.0%

8-153PT4-18

53.0%3PT%22.0%

16-23FT20-25

70.0%FT%80.0%

31Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists10

10Turnovers12

11Steals2

2Blocks4

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Goracke	Forward	29	6-9	2-4	6-7	7	0	2	0	20
Robert Ford III	Guard	39	4-9	3-4	4-5	6	5	2	0	15
Brandon Walker	F	28	5-8	0-0	4-8	4	3	1	0	14
Tyler Patterson	Guard	35	3-6	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Sam Lecholat	Forward	30	3-5	1-1	0-1	5	0	2	1	7
Eddie Turner III	Guard	20	2-7	0-1	0-0	1	2	2	0	4
Chika Nduka	Forward	10	0-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	2
Jaden Geron	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zee Hamoda	G	29	5-11	1-4	6-6	6	0	0	1	17
Emil Skytt	G	22	5-8	0-0	3-5	2	1	1	0	13
Akol Mawein	Forward	16	2-6	1-3	2-2	3	0	0	1	7
Alex Kovatchev	G	30	2-6	1-4	1-2	5	2	0	0	6
Duncan Powell	F	22	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	2	5
Bailey Nunn	G	18	1-5	1-3	2-2	1	3	0	0	5
Bowyn Beatty	F	16	0-3	0-0	4-4	10	2	0	0	4
Jacob Holt	Forward	16	1-4	0-1	1-2	5	0	0	0	3
Austin Patterson	Guard	31	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

111.3Offensive Efficiency98.6

98.6Defensive Efficiency111.3

12.7Net Efficiency-12.7

55.1%Effective FG%39.6%

58.4%True Shooting %47.8%

15.9%Turnover Rate19.1%

46.9%Free Throw Rate47.2%

30.6%3-Point Rate34.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Montana State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.