Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.3%Northern Colorado

58.7%Eastern Washington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEastern Washington -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL162.0

MODEL MONEYLINEEastern Washington -142

Eastern Washington

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 80

Projected Total162.0

Projected ScoreEastern Washington 82

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricEastern Washington

53.7MMH Power Index52.3

116.0Offensive Efficiency112.2

107.6Defensive Efficiency113.5

8.4Net Efficiency-1.3

-4.3Strength of Schedule1.8

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency12.0

71.1Tempo69.6

56.9%Effective FG%54.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

27.8%Free Throw Rate36.3%

6.0Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–52.3), offensive efficiency (116.0–112.2), defensive efficiency (107.6–113.5), net efficiency (8.4–-1.3).

Eastern Washington COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-4.3), recent form (12.0–10.8), offensive rebounding (30.6–27.9).

Final

Northern Colorado

74—77

Eastern Washington

Eastern Washington by 3 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATEastern Washington

29-62FG28-59

47.0%FG%47.0%

9-273PT6-26

33.0%3PT%23.0%

7-12FT15-19

58.0%FT%79.0%

34Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists15

13Turnovers9

7Steals4

—Blocks6

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jaron Rillie	Guard	38	10-17	3-8	3-3	1	4	1	26
Saint Thomas	Forward	30	7-15	4-10	2-3	10	2	1	20
Brock Wisne	F	22	4-7	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	9
Dejour Reaves	G	24	4-11	0-2	0-0	4	3	1	8
Zach Bloch	G	28	3-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	7
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	29	1-5	1-3	1-2	5	0	2	4
Theo Hughes	Center	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0
Langston Reynolds	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-2	0	1	1	0
Connor Creech	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Eastern Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dane Erikstrup	Forward	20	5-13	0-4	6-6	3	1	0	2	16
Casey Jones	G	30	4-11	1-4	4-6	7	1	1	0	13
LeJuan Watts	G	23	6-8	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	1	12
Ethan Price	Forward	28	5-7	1-3	0-1	5	4	0	1	11
Jake Kyman	Guard	27	3-6	2-5	3-4	4	0	0	0	11
Cedric Coward	Guard	25	2-8	1-6	2-2	4	1	1	2	7
Mason Williams	G	12	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Ellis Magnuson	Guard	27	1-3	0-2	0-0	5	6	1	0	2
Sebastian Hartmann	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

103.6Offensive Efficiency107.8

107.8Defensive Efficiency103.6

-4.2Net Efficiency4.2

54.0%Effective FG%52.5%

54.7%True Shooting %56.6%

17.9%Turnover Rate12.9%

19.4%Free Throw Rate32.2%

43.5%3-Point Rate44.1%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Eastern Washington won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.