Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.4%Cal State Fullerton

54.6%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL171.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -120

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 85

Projected Total171.9

Projected ScoreCal Poly 87

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricCal Poly

49.4MMH Power Index46.5

108.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency111.0

1.7Net Efficiency-3.8

-1.2Strength of Schedule1.7

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

76.3Tempo76.6

52.6%Effective FG%52.2%

15.1%Turnover Rate19.8%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate35.8%

1.3Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (108.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–111.0), net efficiency (1.7–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-1.2), offensive rebounding (29.9–25.5).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

54—51

Cal Poly

Cal State Fullerton by 3 • 60.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATCal Poly

18-52FG20-53

35.0%FG%38.0%

2-163PT4-21

13.0%3PT%19.0%

16-22FT7-15

73.0%FT%47.0%

38Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds11

6Assists13

10Turnovers11

5Steals5

3Blocks2

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Brewton	Guard	37	4-11	0-2	5-5	8	0	2	2	13
Beril Kabamba	Forward	28	4-8	0-3	2-3	10	3	1	0	10
John Mikey Square	Not Available	19	3-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Max Jones	Guard	20	2-9	0-2	2-2	2	1	1	0	6
Vincent Lee	Forward	16	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Donovan Oday	G	14	1-3	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	1	4
Grayson Carper	Guard	22	1-5	1-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Kendrick De Luna	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zachary Visentin	Center	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	35	5-12	1-6	3-5	5	7	0	1	14
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	24	5-7	0-0	1-6	8	0	0	0	11
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	28	4-7	1-3	1-2	6	1	0	0	10
Justin Page	G	24	2-6	1-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
Quentin Jones	G	36	2-11	0-4	0-0	5	2	3	0	4
Joel Armotrading	C	11	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Hayden Jory	Guard	10	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Isaac Spears	Guard	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Paul Bizimana	Forward	10	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Aidan Prukop	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.8Possessions60.8

88.8Offensive Efficiency83.9

83.9Defensive Efficiency88.8

4.9Net Efficiency-4.9

36.5%Effective FG%41.5%

43.2%True Shooting %42.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.3%

42.3%Free Throw Rate28.3%

30.8%3-Point Rate39.6%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 60.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.