Arkansas State
20-12GAME THAT MATTERSAT
83.5%Arkansas State
16.5%Louisiana
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArkansas State -9.8
PROJECTED TOTAL148.3
MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -506
Louisiana
11-22MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreArkansas State 79
Projected Total148.3
Projected ScoreLouisiana 69
Team Comparison
57.7MMH Power Index38.6
113.1Offensive Efficiency99.3
105.3Defensive Efficiency110.2
7.8Net Efficiency-10.9
-1.0Strength of Schedule1.5
15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.0
73.3Tempo64.1
52.7%Effective FG%47.1%
19.4%Turnover Rate16.8%
38.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%
39.6%Free Throw Rate29.5%
5.8Average Margin-7.0
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY83.5%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
9–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–38.6), offensive efficiency (113.1–99.3), defensive efficiency (105.3–110.2), net efficiency (7.8–-10.9).
Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-1.0), ball security (16.8–19.4).