Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.5%Arkansas State

16.5%Louisiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -506

Louisiana

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 79

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreLouisiana 69

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricLouisiana

57.7MMH Power Index38.6

113.1Offensive Efficiency99.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency110.2

7.8Net Efficiency-10.9

-1.0Strength of Schedule1.5

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.0

73.3Tempo64.1

52.7%Effective FG%47.1%

19.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate29.5%

5.8Average Margin-7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–38.6), offensive efficiency (113.1–99.3), defensive efficiency (105.3–110.2), net efficiency (7.8–-10.9).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-1.0), ball security (16.8–19.4).

Final

Arkansas State

75—81

Louisiana

Louisiana by 6 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATLouisiana

26-66FG25-52

39.0%FG%48.0%

6-263PT5-12

23.0%3PT%42.0%

17-34FT26-32

50.0%FT%81.0%

40Rebounds40

21Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists10

11Turnovers16

6Steals6

2Blocks5

25Fouls24

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Taryn Todd	Guard	28	9-18	1-5	4-6	1	2	3	0	23
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	31	4-12	3-9	7-10	8	1	0	0	18
Caleb Fields	Guard	36	4-9	2-3	0-5	2	4	0	0	10
Izaiyah Nelson	F	15	3-5	0-0	2-6	7	0	1	1	8
Derrian Ford	G	33	3-10	0-4	1-2	5	2	1	0	7
Freddy Hicks	G	15	1-5	0-1	3-5	4	0	0	1	5
Julian Lual	Guard	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
LaQuill Hardnett	Forward	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Avery Felts	Guard	18	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Zane Butler	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lado Laku	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Julien	Forward	32	5-12	1-3	10-12	5	0	1	2	21
Themus Fulks	G	35	2-11	0-0	9-10	3	5	3	0	13
Hosana Kitenge	F	25	5-7	0-0	3-4	8	2	0	2	13
Kentrell Garnett	Guard	37	4-7	3-5	1-2	0	0	2	0	12
Joe Charles	Not Available	26	4-7	1-3	0-0	10	0	0	0	9
Michael Thomas	Guard	16	2-3	0-0	3-4	2	2	0	0	7
Kyran Ratliff	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	1	6
Brandon Hardy	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

103.9Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency103.9

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

43.9%Effective FG%52.9%

45.6%True Shooting %60.3%

15.2%Turnover Rate22.2%

51.5%Free Throw Rate61.5%

39.4%3-Point Rate23.1%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Louisiana won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.