Stanford

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Stanford

55.2%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -123

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStanford 75

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreCalifornia 78

Team Comparison

StanfordMetricCalifornia

59.2MMH Power Index56.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency111.8

107.1Defensive Efficiency104.8

4.5Net Efficiency7.0

5.2Strength of Schedule2.8

7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

68.1Tempo69.9

51.9%Effective FG%52.6%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

37.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

3.0Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.8–111.6), defensive efficiency (104.8–107.1), net efficiency (7.0–4.5), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.9).

Stanford COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.2–56.5), strength of schedule (5.2–2.8), recent form (7.4–1.8).

Final

Stanford

71—73

California

California by 2 • 76.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StanfordTEAM STATCalifornia

23-58FG25-61

40.0%FG%41.0%

7-243PT5-21

29.0%3PT%24.0%

18-22FT18-27

82.0%FT%67.0%

39Rebounds39

5Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists8

12Turnovers9

3Steals6

1Blocks1

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Spencer Jones	Forward	33	4-11	1-5	4-6	3	2	1	0	13
Brandon Angel	Forward	31	2-4	1-3	7-7	7	2	1	0	12
Kanaan Carlyle	G	29	5-15	0-3	2-3	2	2	1	0	12
Maxime Raynaud	Forward	32	3-7	0-1	5-6	13	2	0	1	11
Michael Jones	Guard	34	3-8	2-4	0-0	6	1	0	0	8
Jared Bynum	Guard	16	3-7	2-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Andrej Stojakovic	G	19	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Benny Gealer	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
James Keefe	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	28	6-14	1-4	1-4	6	4	2	0	14
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	34	5-12	1-2	2-5	12	2	0	0	13
Jalen Celestine	G	26	4-6	0-1	4-5	2	0	1	0	12
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	36	4-8	2-4	1-2	3	1	3	1	11
Grant Newell	F	28	4-8	1-3	2-2	10	0	0	0	11
Jalen Cone	Guard	33	1-11	0-6	8-9	0	1	0	0	10
Gus Larson	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Rodney Brown	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.2Possessions76.2

93.2Offensive Efficiency95.8

95.8Defensive Efficiency93.2

-2.6Net Efficiency2.6

45.7%Effective FG%45.1%

51.9%True Shooting %49.4%

15.9%Turnover Rate11.7%

37.9%Free Throw Rate44.3%

41.4%3-Point Rate34.4%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

California won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 76.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.