Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Virginia

57.7%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -136

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 76

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreLouisville 80

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricLouisville

68.9MMH Power Index67.1

119.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

101.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

17.2Net Efficiency16.4

5.2Strength of Schedule6.0

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

67.6Tempo71.0

55.0%Effective FG%56.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

33.2%Free Throw Rate34.1%

11.6Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–67.1), offensive efficiency (119.0–118.6), defensive efficiency (101.8–102.2), net efficiency (17.2–16.4).

Louisville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.0–5.2), shooting efficiency (56.9–55.0), free throw rate (34.1–33.2).

Final

Virginia

69—52

Louisville

Virginia by 17 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATLouisville

27-54FG15-42

50.0%FG%36.0%

8-173PT3-11

47.0%3PT%27.0%

7-10FT19-24

70.0%FT%79.0%

28Rebounds31

5Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists5

11Turnovers18

14Steals5

5Blocks2

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Dunn	Forward	29	8-10	0-0	3-4	11	1	0	2	19
Isaac McKneely	G	30	3-8	3-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	9
Reece Beekman	Guard	30	3-9	0-3	3-4	0	9	5	1	9
Jacob Groves	Forward	12	3-4	3-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	9
Andrew Rohde	G	28	2-6	2-4	1-2	2	4	3	0	7
Blake Buchanan	F	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	1	4
Leon Bond III	G	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	4
Jordan Minor	Forward	10	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Taine Murray	Guard	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Elijah Gertrude	G	5	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Dante Harris	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Tristan How	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre White	G	27	3-8	1-2	3-4	0	0	1	0	10
Mike James	G	33	1-8	0-2	6-6	2	1	0	1	8
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	27	3-6	0-0	2-5	10	0	1	0	8
Skyy Clark	G	35	1-6	0-2	4-5	3	2	1	0	6
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	22	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Emmanuel Okorafor	F	10	2-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	1	6
Kaleb Glenn	F	19	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	4
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	14	1-4	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	0	4
Zan Payne	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Danilo Jovanovich	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

107.6Offensive Efficiency81.1

81.1Defensive Efficiency107.6

26.5Net Efficiency-26.5

57.4%Effective FG%39.3%

58.7%True Shooting %48.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate28.4%

18.5%Free Throw Rate57.1%

31.5%3-Point Rate26.2%

1.64Assist / Turnover0.28

Game Summary

Virginia won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.