Georgetown

13-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%Georgetown

69.2%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -225

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgetown 73

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreProvidence 79

Team Comparison

GeorgetownMetricProvidence

51.5MMH Power Index54.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency115.0

107.4Defensive Efficiency113.2

-0.2Net Efficiency1.8

4.4Strength of Schedule4.0

-4.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

61.7Tempo74.2

49.2%Effective FG%55.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.7%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

38.3%Free Throw Rate37.3%

-0.1Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–51.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–107.2), net efficiency (1.8–-0.2), recent form (-1.3–-4.8).

Georgetown COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–113.2), strength of schedule (4.4–4.0), ball security (16.4–16.7).

Final

Georgetown

76—84

Providence

Providence by 8 • 72.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GeorgetownTEAM STATProvidence

27-62FG28-49

44.0%FG%57.0%

9-263PT5-19

35.0%3PT%26.0%

13-18FT23-27

72.0%FT%85.0%

31Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists14

15Turnovers16

6Steals10

—Blocks7

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

Georgetown

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jayden Epps	G	40	9-27	3-13	5-5	4	6	1	26
Ismael Massoud	Forward	34	5-10	4-8	2-2	7	0	1	16
Supreme Cook	Not Available	28	7-10	0-0	1-5	4	0	0	15
Jay Heath	Guard	26	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	3	0	5
Wayne Bristol Jr.	Guard	32	1-4	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	4
Dontrez Styles	Guard	18	1-5	1-2	1-2	4	0	1	4
Rowan Brumbaugh	G	16	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	1	2	4
Drew Fielder	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	2
Ryan Mutombo	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	38	10-14	2-5	7-9	4	2	4	2	29
Josh Oduro	Forward	28	8-10	0-0	6-7	6	1	2	1	22
Ticket Gaines	Guard	36	4-10	1-6	5-5	7	4	0	1	14
Jayden Pierre	G	29	3-7	0-3	3-4	3	3	0	1	9
Rafael Castro	F	7	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	1	4
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	31	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	2	3	0	3
Rich Barron	F	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Garwey Dual	G	19	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.7Possessions72.7

104.5Offensive Efficiency115.5

115.5Defensive Efficiency104.5

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

50.8%Effective FG%62.2%

53.9%True Shooting %67.9%

20.7%Turnover Rate22.0%

29.0%Free Throw Rate55.1%

41.9%3-Point Rate38.8%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Providence won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.