Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%Wagner

66.3%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -197

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 69

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 75

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricCentral Connecticut

42.9MMH Power Index44.4

105.5Offensive Efficiency111.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency107.0

-0.6Net Efficiency4.4

-5.0Strength of Schedule-7.7

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

67.6Tempo66.3

50.2%Effective FG%54.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

31.6%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-0.4Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–42.9), offensive efficiency (111.4–105.5), net efficiency (4.4–-0.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.2).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.1–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.0–-7.7), recent form (0.3–-0.5).

Final

Wagner

68—69

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 1 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

26-62FG24-56

42.0%FG%43.0%

8-213PT8-22

38.0%3PT%36.0%

8-10FT13-20

80.0%FT%65.0%

39Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists17

9Turnovers5

3Steals4

4Blocks6

16Fouls9

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javier Ezquerra	G	45	8-12	6-9	0-0	5	2	0	0	22
Melvin Council Jr.	G	45	5-18	1-6	6-6	5	2	1	1	17
Keyontae Lewis	F	38	6-11	0-0	1-2	11	1	0	1	13
Tahron Allen	Not Available	35	4-11	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	9
Tyje Kelton	F	41	2-8	1-6	0-0	6	3	0	1	5
Seck Zongo	Forward	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	2

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kellen Amos	Guard	43	6-11	4-6	1-2	5	3	0	1	17
Jordan Jones	Guard	39	5-15	1-3	5-6	4	5	2	0	16
Tre Breland	Guard	37	6-15	2-9	0-0	4	0	2	0	14
Jayden Brown	Forward	31	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	3	4
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	19	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Abdul Momoh	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	2	2
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

106.8Offensive Efficiency108.3

108.3Defensive Efficiency106.8

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

48.4%Effective FG%50.0%

50.9%True Shooting %52.7%

14.1%Turnover Rate7.9%

16.1%Free Throw Rate35.7%

33.9%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover3.40

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.