Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Southern Illinois

59.8%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -149

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 76

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreMurray State 79

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricMurray State

54.6MMH Power Index53.6

103.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

98.5Defensive Efficiency111.0

4.9Net Efficiency4.0

1.6Strength of Schedule3.5

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

70.6Tempo72.3

49.5%Effective FG%54.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

32.3%Free Throw Rate39.1%

3.4Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (115.0–103.4), strength of schedule (3.5–1.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–49.5), ball security (16.3–17.0).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.6–53.6), defensive efficiency (98.5–111.0), net efficiency (4.9–4.0).

Final

Southern Illinois

60—58

Murray State

Southern Illinois by 2 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATMurray State

22-47FG22-46

47.0%FG%48.0%

9-253PT7-16

36.0%3PT%44.0%

7-13FT7-14

54.0%FT%50.0%

36Rebounds22

8Offensive Rebounds1

9Assists9

18Turnovers10

7Steals6

3Blocks3

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	40	6-13	3-8	1-2	2	6	0	0	16
Trent Brown	Guard	38	6-12	3-8	1-1	2	0	0	0	16
AJ Ferguson	Guard	21	3-6	3-4	5-7	4	2	1	0	14
Troy D'Amico	Forward	36	3-6	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Clarence Rupert	Forward	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Scottie Ebube	C	18	1-2	0-0	0-2	8	1	3	2	2
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	23	0-3	0-2	0-1	7	0	2	0	0
Jovan Stulic	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Trey Miller	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaCobi Wood	Guard	37	6-9	2-4	0-2	3	2	2	0	14
Rob Perry	Guard	34	5-9	4-7	0-0	5	3	3	0	14
Brian Moore Jr.	G	25	5-14	0-1	4-5	0	1	0	0	14
Nick Ellington	F	23	3-3	0-0	2-5	6	0	0	1	8
Alden Applewhite	F	21	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Samuel Murray	F	14	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	2	3
Quincy Anderson	Guard	24	1-6	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Justin Morgan	Guard	20	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

96.0Offensive Efficiency92.8

92.8Defensive Efficiency96.0

3.2Net Efficiency-3.2

56.4%Effective FG%55.4%

56.4%True Shooting %55.1%

28.5%Turnover Rate16.2%

27.7%Free Throw Rate30.4%

53.2%3-Point Rate34.8%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.